Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacoby Dornfelder Rheinhessen 2021 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Remhoogte Soaring Eagle Red Blend Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Shafer One Point Five Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Spellbinder Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Riesling Kirchberg de Barr Alsace Grand Cru 2017 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Andrea Oberto Barolo Commune de la Mora 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Xalo Bahia de Denia Moscatel Alicante 2023 dessert · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Haut Prieur La Croix Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloud 90 by Cavit Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.49 | ▲ 18.8% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Esteban Martin Grenache Syrah Blend Carinena Box 2018 red · 3000 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $33.53 $112 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Vigne Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Chardonnay Chalk Hill white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Silva Dona Dominga Clasico de Familia Chardonnay Valle de Colchagua 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chasing Rain Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lalaudey Moulis en Medoc Cru Bourgeois Superieur 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Chardonnay Sun Chase Vineyard Estate Grown Petaluma Gap 2020 white · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Mountain Cuvee 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Palacio del Burgo Rioja Tinto 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Champagne Pointillard Leroy Fondations 1910 Brut Premier Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cloudline Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Pinot Gris Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $35.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| First Drop Mother's Milk Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hogue Cellars Pinot Grigio Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Jacome Morgon Rouge 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Laurenz V Singing Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2020 white · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Passot Les Rampaux Regnie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tait The Ball Buster Red Blend Barossa Valley 2018 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Alzatura Montefalco Rosso 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Cuvee Juveniles Red Blend Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Chaise Touraine Chenonceaux Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fetzer Cabernet Sauvignon Anthony's Hill red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Blauer Zweigelt Elegant Niederosterreich 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $45.99 | ▲ 39.4% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Corbett Canyon Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Potardiere Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden Gate Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Hermanos Hernaiz el Jardin de La Emperatriz Tinto Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| K Vintners Viognier Art Den Hoed Yakima Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
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