Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2022
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$45.99▲ 7.0%—Fairly priced1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2022
red · 750 ml
$62.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Bolgheri Rosso 2022
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cristom Mt. Jefferson Cuvee Pinot Noir Eola-Amity Hills 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hyland Estates Petit Estate Pinot Noir McMinnville 2021
red · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Albino Rocca Vigna Loreto Barbaresco Ovello 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$64.99——Fairly priced1%
Girard Artistry Red Wine Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2022
white · 750 ml
$18.93 $67.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sleight of Hand Cellars Enchantress Chardonnay Yakima Valley 2024
white · Washington · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine Nico Grand Pere Pinot Noir Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Loosen Graacher Domprobst Riesling GG 2021
white · 750 ml
$51.99 $53.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel en Aarde Valley 2021
white · 750 ml
$23.53 $45.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Laetitia Brut Cuvee RM Arroyo Grande Valley
sparkling · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.93 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
10000 Hours Red Mountain Red Blend 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Balletto Vineyards Zinfandel Russian River Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Neal Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gerard and Pierre Morin Bellechaume Sancerre Rouge 2018
white · Loire · 750 ml
$36.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.03 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Whitehall Lane Tre Leoni Red Blend Napa Valley 2024
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$34.99——Fairly priced1%
Alexander Valley Vineyards Sin Zin Zinfandel Alexander Valley 2017
red · Sonoma · 1500 ml
$17.53 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2018
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Budureasca Orange Wine Romania 2020
red · 750 ml
$7.93 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Buehler Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$29.99——28% premium1%
Cluster F Grenache Yakima Valley 2023
red · Washington · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge with Glass Pitcher Gift Set
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced4%
Gorman Winery The Devil You Dont Know Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Quinta da Fonte Souto White Alentejo 2022
white · 750 ml
$27.99 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Follette Lorenzo Vineyard Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$14.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Petit Smith Haut Lafitte Blanc 2021
white · 750 ml
$16.93 $56.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Zenato Ripassa Valpolicella Superiore Ripasso 2020
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$16.19 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley Reserve 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de Bel Air Pouilly Fume 2025
white · Loire · 750 ml
$27.99——Fairly priced1%
Francois Lecomte Pouilly Fuisse 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$34.99 $36.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Tendril Cellars Childs Play Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Handley Cellars Pinot Noir RSM Vineyard Anderson Valley 2018
red · 750 ml
$16.23 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Guerrin Pouilly Fuisse Vieilles Vignes 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Raptor Ridge Estate Cuvee Sparkling Brut Rose 2019
sparkling · 750 ml
$20.99 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Titan Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve California 2022
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$26.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine le Prieure des Papes Organic Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—29% premium<1%
Hula o Maui Pineapple Sparkling Wine
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.59 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—29% premium1%
Quattro Theory Merlot Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—29% premium1%
10,000 Hours Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.33 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas Muriel Gran Reserva Rioja 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$26.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$8.23 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$31.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frank Family Vineyards Zinfandel Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.93 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gaintus Radical Sumoll 2019
red · 750 ml
$6.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
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