Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turk Riesling Kremser Weinberge 2022 white · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bargemone Blanc Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 white · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Riesling white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Burgans Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Butcher's Daughter Chardonnay Pays DOc 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Classic Chardonnay Mendoza 2020 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Grand Fossil Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vieilles Vignes 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Fontanelles Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| MAN Family Wines Padstal Chardonnay Coastal Region 2022 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.13 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matua Lighter Sauvignon Blanc New Zealand white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ridgeback Lion Hound Sauvignon Blanc Paarl 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Smoking Loon Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.83 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three French Hens Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2025 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $26.99 | — | — | 4% premium | 1% |
| Totara Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Duckhorn Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | ▲ 4.4% | ▲ 8.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Flickerwood Wine Cellars Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +6% if it rises |
| Hugl Gruner Veltliner Weinviertel 2024 white · 1000 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mad Fish Sauvignon Blanc Semillon Western Australia 2021 white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| Three French Hens Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2024 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| Trumpeter Torrontes Mendoza 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa de Moreschi Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Honig Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lagoalva Branco Tejo 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| MAN Family Wines Padstal Chardonnay Coastal Region 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.13 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| Mount Nittany Nittany Mountain White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sonoma Cutrer Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Spy Valley Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bel a Ciao Semillon Orange Wine Vin de France 2021 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| House of Brown Chardonnay California 2021 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Graacher Himmelreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Pinot Gris Washington Oregon 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 4% premium | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Banfi La Pettegola Toscana Vermentino 2022 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chappellet Grower Collection Chardonnay Calesa Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2019 white · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sancerre Blanc white · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Elizabeth Spencer Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hedges Family Estate CMS Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.23 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nik Weis St Urbans Hof Riesling Wiltinger Kabinett Mosel 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Etchart Cafayate Terroir De Altura Torrontes Salta 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.59 $15.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Brotte Les Hauts de Barville Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Red Slate Riesling Dry 2022 white · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Hermann J Wiemer Dry Riesling Seneca Lake Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kermit Lynch Vin de Pays de Vaucluse Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
1,751–1,800 of 2,882← PreviousNext →