Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellow Tail Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 3% premium | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Super Crisp Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Jacob's Creek Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 4% |
| Felino Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.6% | 80% premium | 4% |
| Villa Maria Private Bin Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 9.4% | — | 104% premium | 4% |
| Louis Roederer Cristal Brut Champagne Deluxe Gift Box 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $350 $400 Sale | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 4% |
| Schmitt Sohne Riesling Crisp and Fruity white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.49 | ▲ 2.3% | ▲ 7.1% | 21% premium | 4% |
| Stella Rosa L'Originale Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▲ 3.1% | ▲ 17.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Valiant Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Hahn Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▼ 11.1% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| M Minuty Cotes de Provence Rose rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | ▼ 3.9% | 0.0% | 48% premium | 4% |
| Ruffino Ducale Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Elmo Pio Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 4.8% | ▲ 15.8% | 36% premium | 4% |
| Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 4.8% | ▲ 5.3% | 40% premium | 4% |
| Franzia White Zinfandel rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Martin Codax Albarino white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | 27% premium | 4% |
| Ruta 22 Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 56% below | 4% |
| Almaden Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Josh Cellars Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Duplin Carolina Scuppernong Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Castello Banfi Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.6% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 | — | — | 294% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $260 | — | — | 175% premium | 4% |
| Mark West Black Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 25.0% | 37% premium | 3% |
| Big House Wine Co Birdman Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Lustau Don Nuno Oloroso Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Stella Rosa L'Orginale Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▲ 3.1% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Famiglie Pinot Grigio Veneto white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $24.99 Sale | ▼ 7.4% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Khvanchkara Red Wine Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $27.99 Sale | ▲ 7.7% | ▲ 12.0% | 114% premium | 3% |
| Loveblock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Rodney Strong Chardonnay Chalk Hill white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bogle Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Charles Smith The Velvet Devil Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Jawbreaker Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Nissley Grapeful Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Nissley Spicy Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Spring Gate Vineyard Renove Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Wilhelm Winery Wilhelm Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Matua Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2024 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | ▲ 6.9% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bolla Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
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