Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Ecole No 41 Ferguson Estate Ferguson Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Napa Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $30.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Salvaterra Amarone della Valpolicella 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Board Track Racer The Shift GSM Red Blend 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Ice Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $71.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Dancing Crow Vineyards Corbeau Ruse Lake County 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.73 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Saint Romain Villages Blanc 2019 white · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera de Villiers Vineyards Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017 red · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Januik Champoux Vineyard Merlot 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lightpost Winery Pinot Noir San Luis Obispo County Spanish Springs Vineyard Reserve 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $15.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sokol Blosser Pinot Noir Redland Cuvee Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Copain Les Voisins Syrah Yorkville Highlands 2017 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| North Valley Vineyards Classic Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Vascos Cromas Gran Reserva Cabernet Franc Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Fonte Souto Red Alentejo 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ferrari Carano Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta della Terre Nere Etna Bianco 2024 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brezon et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Eric Taillet ExclusivT Blanc de Meunier Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lion Tamer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peju Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pommery Apanage Blanc de Blancs Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Royal Oporto Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saracina Skid Row Malbec Mendocino County 2018 red · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vidal Fleury Vacqueyras 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Fortitude Bordeaux Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | 1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Saxon Brown Chardonnay Green Acres Hill Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Sauvignon Blanc white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $31.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stark Conde Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $28.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vinum Cellars Typesetter Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cooper and Thief Cellarmasters Red Wine Blend Aged in Bourbon Barrels red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.4% | 26% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Phinny Hill Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matthews Winery Matthews Cuvee Red Blend 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Wedding Cuvee Green Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Cuvee Frederic Emile Riesling Alsace 2011 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.43 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Etude Estate Carneros Chardonnay 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ferrari Trentodoc Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe McDaniels LFG Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Oregon 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $45.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dalton Estate Merlot Galilee 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Chardonnay Searby Vineyard Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turley Zinfandel Evangelho Vineyard 2022 red · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
1,701–1,750 of 2,525← PreviousNext →