Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat Top Hills Cellars Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| The Path Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Arado Malbec Salta red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Big Smooth Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.5% | 47% premium | 2% |
| Folly of the Beast Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Rodney Strong Sauvignon Blanc Charlotte's Home Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $18.99 Sale | ▼ 5.0% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Roscato Rose Dolce Italia rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Tott's California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.36 $8.73 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% below | 2% |
| Veuve Du Vernay Sparkling Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.36 $8.73 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% below | 2% |
| Elmo Pio Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Knotty Vines Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.83 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 17.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Layer Cake Jampacked Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Botani Old Vines Moscatel 2024 dessert · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Confidencial Rose Lisboa Reserva rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $9.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Carmenet Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Josh Cellars Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Altered Dimension Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Amity Vineyards Pinot Noir White Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.13 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Beso Del Sol Sangria Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Joel Gott Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.03 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Nuit de Lumieres Grenache Noir Reserve Pays d'Oc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Pull Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sutter Home Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sutter Home Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Black Box Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.99 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Luna Di Luna Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Rocca delle Macie Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 15.8% | ▲ 29.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Substance Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Holiday Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Les Freres Bastards Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Terra D'Oro Chenin Blanc Viognier Clarksburg 2021 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bota Box Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | 7% premium | 2% |
| Bota Box Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bota Box Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sonoma Cutrer Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bieler Family Born to Run Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barton and Guestier Rose d'Anjou rosé · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 12.2% | ▲ 16.7% | 24% premium | 2% |
| Cavit Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cavit Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| G and D Marsala Private Stock dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.23 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | 47% below | 2% |
| Wild Vines Blackberry Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 44% below | 2% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Sangria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Koyle Costa Cuarzo Sauvignon Blanc Paredones 2022 white · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Villa Antinori Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▼ 4.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cavit Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cavit Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Paul Masson Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.23 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 43% below | 2% |
| Tomasello Winery Watermelon Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
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