Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellow Tail Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 3% premium | 4% |
| Casa da Passarella Branco Dao 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Renne Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Buissonnes Cuvee Pierre a Feu Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dry Creek Fume Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Pinot Grigio Limelight white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +6% if it rises |
| Periquita White Peninsula de Setubal 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Time Machine Blanc Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Anthony Road Pinot Gris Seneca Lake 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atilia Trebbiano d'Abruzzo 2020 white · Abruzzo · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Chardonnay 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vinum Cellars Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2022 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| the beachhouse Pinot Grigio delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bodegas Vina Olabarri Rioja Blanco 2021 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $4.33 $16.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Emiliana Novas Organic Sauvignon Blanc Casablanca Valley Gran Reserva 2021 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Kermit Lynch Vin de Pays de Vaucluse Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Miller Ranch Yountville 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simi Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Path Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Browne Family Vineyards Bitner Estate Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe White Peloponnese 2023 white · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Redwood Highway Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Six Hats South Africa Viognier 2022 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Washington Hills Riesling 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damien Martin Bourgogne Blanc white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe White Peloponnese 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kiona Chenin Blanc Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| MAN Family Wines Free Run Steen Chenin Blanc Coastal Region 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| Recanati Yasmin White 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| Beringer Bros Chardonnay Bourbon Barrel Aged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.34 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Canyon Road Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.44 $10.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Lenz Moser Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2023 white · 1000 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Almaden Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bodegas Pazo de Villarei Abadia Do Seixo Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Begue Mathiot Pargues Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $31.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling GG Alte Reben 2022 white · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Forrester Petit Chenin Blanc Stellenbosch 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mt Beautiful North Canterbury Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 4% premium | 4% |
| Zombie Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Perraud Chardonnay Macon-Villages 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Crema Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 9.1% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Les Fontanelles Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2019 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Matchbook Old Head Chardonnay Dunnigan Hills 2021 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spy Valley Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spy Valley Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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