Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamole di Lamole Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Frailes Caliza Monastrell Valencia 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sean Minor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Castello Banfi Chianti Superiore red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 6.2% | ▲ 19.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $133 $243 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mezzacorona DiNotte Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 56.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Trivento Malbec Mendoza Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Beaux Freres Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cote de Bordeaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Columbia Crest Grand Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Causse D'Arboras La Faille Terrasses du Larzac 2018 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Susie Bynum Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Waterdog Portugal Red Setubal 2017 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| David Finlayson Cab et al Coastal Region 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Coteaux Tufiers Vouvray 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolas Idiart Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Punset Barbera d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Syrah Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Starmont Vineyards Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Vigne Winery Petite Sirah Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz South Australia 2022 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $30.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Argillae Orvieto Superiore 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bolla Chianti red · Tuscany · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017 red · 750 ml | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Marcel Giraudon Bourgogne Aligote 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Cuvee Alouettes Cabernet Franc Bourgueil 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| McPrice Myers Bull by the Horns Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella Red Blend Delicious Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Artemis Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $74.99 $79.99 Sale | ▼ 5.9% | ▲ 17.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Terra Viva Sangiovese Marche 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau des Moulins Medoc Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Fabregues Le Coeur Languedoc Pezenas 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Grillo Sicilia 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Garzon Marselan Uruguay Reserva 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Crown Point Relevant Cabernet Sauvignon Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $47.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Castenau Cuvee L Etang Picpoul de Pinet 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Eminent Domaine Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Ribbon Ridge 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Patton Valley Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quattro Theory Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sean Minor Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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