Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Eric Montchovet Longbois Beaune Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Tempier Bandol Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| MacRostie Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.23 $30.99 Clearance | ▼ 0.6% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Pedro Ximenez 15 Year Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aperture Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bergstrom Old Stones Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Gebert Scheurebe Rheinhessen 2022 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 23% premium | 1% |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners The Hidden Northridge Syrah Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Bolgheri Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Carneros 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Mosel Auslese 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Addendum by Fess Parker Skellenger Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Hentley Farm Shiraz Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Musar Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling GG Alte Reben 2022 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Solomon Hills Estate Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley SBC 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe Family Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau de La Dauphine Fronsac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna V5 Vasca Cinque Rosato di Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2023 rosé · Sicily · 3000 ml | $31.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Foolhardy Vintners Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2021 red · 750 ml | $46.43 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dry Creek Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 $31.19 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Trefethen Riesling 2023 white · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Georges Duboeuf Domaines Chateau des Capitan Julienas 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Paula Kornell Blanc de Noir Methode Champenoise Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spinelli Pinot Grigio Cannister white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 12.0% | — | Fairly priced | 18% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tenuta Argentiera Poggio ai Ginepri Bolgheri Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ridge Vineyards Geyserville Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $50.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Coelho Winery Pinot Noir Coelho Vineyard Van Duzer Corridor 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dancing Crow Old Stake Field Blend Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rouge 2020 red · Provence · 750 ml | $32.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Santa Duc Aux Lieux Dits Gigondas 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fonseca Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $60.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Goudoulettes Savigny Les Beaune Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Maucaillou Moulis en Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Reserve Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Price Family Estates Three Sticks Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Sigalas Rabaud Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dusky Goose Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.43 $65.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,651–1,700 of 2,525← PreviousNext →