Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Domaine Eric Montchovet Longbois Beaune Rouge 2022
red · 750 ml
$20.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Tempier Bandol Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$64.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
MacRostie Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.23 $30.99 Clearance▼ 0.6%▲ 3.3%Fairly priced1%
Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Pedro Ximenez 15 Year Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Aperture Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Sonoma County 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella 2018
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$35.99 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$30.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Toscana Rosso 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.93 $68.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bergstrom Old Stones Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Gebert Scheurebe Rheinhessen 2022
red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$8.93 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$34.99——23% premium1%
San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
K Vintners The Hidden Northridge Syrah Wahluke Slope 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Bolgheri Rosso 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Shafer Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Carneros 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$30.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Mosel Auslese 2018
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$22.53 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Addendum by Fess Parker Skellenger Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Hentley Farm Shiraz Barossa Valley 2021
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 10 Year Old
dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$37.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +7% if it rises
Volker Eisele Family Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2024
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$37.99——Fairly priced5%
Chateau Musar Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2020
red · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling GG Alte Reben 2022
white · 750 ml
$51.99 $53.99 Sale 0.0%—24% premium<1%
Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$20.99 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—24% premium<1%
Solomon Hills Estate Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley SBC 2020
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$19.93 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bledsoe Family Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau de La Dauphine Fronsac 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Di Giovanna V5 Vasca Cinque Rosato di Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2023
rosé · Sicily · 3000 ml
$31.99▲ 6.7%—Fairly priced<1%
Foolhardy Vintners Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2021
white · Washington · 750 ml
$8.23 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2021
red · 750 ml
$46.43 $61.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dry Creek Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.59 $31.19 Clearance 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced2%
Trefethen Riesling 2023
white · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Georges Duboeuf Domaines Chateau des Capitan Julienas 2021
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—24% premium<1%
Paula Kornell Blanc de Noir Methode Champenoise Napa Valley 2018
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Spinelli Pinot Grigio Cannister
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$27.99▲ 12.0%—Fairly priced18%
typically +5% if it rises
Tenuta Argentiera Poggio ai Ginepri Bolgheri Rosso 2022
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$25.99 $32.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Ridge Vineyards Geyserville Alexander Valley 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$50.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Coelho Winery Pinot Noir Coelho Vineyard Van Duzer Corridor 2018
red · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dancing Crow Old Stake Field Blend Red 2022
red · 750 ml
$34.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rouge 2020
red · Provence · 750 ml
$32.99 $34.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Santa Duc Aux Lieux Dits Gigondas 2018
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fonseca Tawny Port 20 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$60.99 0.0%—Fairly priced5%
typically +7% if it rises
Domaine Antonin Guyon Goudoulettes Savigny Les Beaune Rouge 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$15.93 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Maucaillou Moulis en Medoc 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ferrari Carano Reserve Chardonnay Carneros 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Price Family Estates Three Sticks Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2023
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$33.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Sigalas Rabaud Sauternes 2018
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Dusky Goose Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2017
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.43 $65.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,651–1,700 of 2,525← PreviousNext →