Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidelitas Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Chardonnay Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frescobaldi CastelGiocondo Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hands of Time Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hanna Estate Grown Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 114 Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 115 Pinot Noir Eola Amity HIlls 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Merlot Estate Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Estate Winery Pinot Noir Reserve 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Pirouette Red Wine Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | <1% |
| Loveblock Pinot Noir Central Otago 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Maquis Lien Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $18.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massalto Extravaganza Cinsault Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Matthews Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Clifton Hill Vineyards Wahluke Slope 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards Sentinel Northridge Vineyards Wahluke Slope Red 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 71% premium | <1% |
| Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| North Valley Vineyards Classic Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Guardoilvento Etna Rosso 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prospice Mervina Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pulenta Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza Agrelo 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pulenta Estate Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Rocky Pond Cabernet Sauvignon Rocky Reach 2021 red · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rocky Pond Eleven Dams Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Durell Vineyard Hayfield Block Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2015 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Pinot Noir Fighting Brothers Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight Of Hand Cellars The Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tetramythos Roditis Orange Natur Patras 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | <1% |
| Valo Intemporal Red Blend Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Venge Vineyards Scout's Honor Proprietary Red Wine California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vireton Pinot Noir By Archery Summit Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vivier Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Au Bon Climat Pinot Noir Knox Alexander Santa Maria Valley 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $34.73 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| Bargetto Chardonnay Regan Estate Vineyards Reserve Santa Cruz Mountains 2019 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Broken Earth Winery Cabernet Franc Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017 red · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera de Villiers Vineyards Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017 red · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Grower Collection Chardonnay Calesa Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2022 white · 750 ml | $19.93 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Stoneridge Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Koko Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| Cornerstone Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Benchlands Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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