Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girasole Vineyards Pinot Blanc Mendocino County 2020 white · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luca Bosio Dark Red Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Noble Vines 446 Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Old Kakheti Sparkling Pink Georgia 2020 sparkling · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Olema Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Rosso di Montalcino 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Real Rosado Rioja 2024 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ben Marco Cabernet Franc Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chasing Venus Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Chianti Classico 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Claude Mas Chateau de Conas Carignan Reserve Vielles Vignes 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mazza Vineyards The Perfect Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Salentein Killka Museum Series Malbec Uco Valley Mendoza Estate 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia La Mantis Pet Nat Natural Maipu 2024 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tetramythos Retsina Roditis 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Larroque Bordeaux Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Besson Petit Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruffino Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bodegas Vegalfaro Caprasia Anfora Bobal Crianza Utiel Requena 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Delaforce Fine Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Riondo Prosecco Rose 2021 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villaviva Cotes de Thau Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Blanc Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2021 white · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Frontier Red Lot 211 Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gai'a Monograph Agiorgitiko Peloponnese 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hunt and Harvest Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast 2020 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Riesling Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Vermentino Costa Toscana 2020 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Wildfern Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Andre Delorme Blanc de Blanc Brut Reserve sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantine Leuci Primile Primitivo Salento Rosso 2022 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Curriola Tinto Tejo 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Winery Riesling Santa Barbara County 2024 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Miha Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Alqueve Tradicional Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| TAHI Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Christopher Michael Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lyngrove Collection Pinotage Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pomme Doublee Apple Spritz Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Vina Santa Rita 120 Sauvignon Blanc Central Valley Reserva Especial white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Box Pinot Noir red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Cleto Chiarli Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro Organic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Diemersdal Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Western Cape 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden Gate Cellars Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
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