Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2020
red · Loire · 750 ml
$18.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Girasole Vineyards Pinot Blanc Mendocino County 2020
white · 750 ml
$7.53 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Luca Bosio Dark Red Semi Sweet
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.23 $13.49 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Noble Vines 446 Chardonnay Monterey County
white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.49▲ 3.8%▲ 3.8%Fairly priced3%
Old Kakheti Sparkling Pink Georgia 2020
sparkling · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Olema Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2023
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.99 $19.99 Sale——Fairly priced<1%
Podere Brizio Rosso di Montalcino 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vina Real Rosado Rioja 2024
rosé · Rioja · 750 ml
$10.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Ben Marco Cabernet Franc Uco Valley 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$22.99 $23.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chasing Venus Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$8.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dievole Chianti Classico 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jean Claude Mas Chateau de Conas Carignan Reserve Vielles Vignes 2020
red · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mazza Vineyards The Perfect Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.39 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +9% if it rises
Salentein Killka Museum Series Malbec Uco Valley Mendoza Estate 2020
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Santa Julia La Mantis Pet Nat Natural Maipu 2024
red · 750 ml
$18.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Tetramythos Retsina Roditis 2021
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Larroque Bordeaux Blanc 2022
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Besson Petit Chablis 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$20.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ruffino Chianti Classico
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 $13.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 27.3%Fairly priced4%
Bodegas Vegalfaro Caprasia Anfora Bobal Crianza Utiel Requena 2020
red · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Delaforce Fine Tawny Porto
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Riondo Prosecco Rose 2021
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Villaviva Cotes de Thau Rose 2021
rosé · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Commanderie de la Bargemone Blanc Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2021
white · Provence · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2024
white · Loire · 750 ml
$19.99 $22.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fess Parker Frontier Red Lot 211 Central Coast
red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Gai'a Monograph Agiorgitiko Peloponnese 2021
red · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hunt and Harvest Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$4.93 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Justin Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast 2020
white · Central Coast · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Riesling Monterey County
white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $13.99 Sale▲ 3.7%▲ 7.7%Fairly priced5%
Tenuta Le Colonne Vermentino Costa Toscana 2020
white · Tuscany · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Wildfern Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$13.19 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Andre Delorme Blanc de Blanc Brut Reserve
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced1%
Cantine Leuci Primile Primitivo Salento Rosso 2022
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Curriola Tinto Tejo 2021
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fess Parker Winery Riesling Santa Barbara County 2024
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Miha Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$11.99——Fairly priced1%
Pinhal da Torre Alqueve Tradicional Red 2020
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
TAHI Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$11.99——Fairly priced1%
Christopher Michael Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Lyngrove Collection Pinotage Stellenbosch 2020
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$6.53 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pomme Doublee Apple Spritz Sparkling Wine
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +8% if it rises
Vina Santa Rita 120 Sauvignon Blanc Central Valley Reserva Especial
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99——Fairly priced10%
typically +10% if it rises
Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Black Box Pinot Noir
red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $5.99 Sale 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced7%
typically +12% if it rises
Cleto Chiarli Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro Organic
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced10%
typically +7% if it rises
Diemersdal Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Western Cape 2023
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$8.33 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Golden Gate Cellars Chardonnay California
white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49▲ 4.2%—Fairly priced11%
typically +7% if it rises
1,651–1,700 of 6,416← PreviousNext →