Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Raeburn Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 0.4% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tribute Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bargetto Pinot Grigio Monterey County 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 40.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Campanette Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fantinel Tenuta Sant Helena Pinot Grigio 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Susie Bynum Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warwick The First Lady Sauvignon Blanc South Africa 2022 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bogle Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Casal Garcia Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Gilgal Chardonnay Golan Heights 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Grain de Lune Sauvignon Gris Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa Cote D'Argent Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2022 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sandboy Albarino Rias Baixas 2022 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Corte del Vescovo Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie 2022 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| the beachhouse Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Avia Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Dolly Chardonnay California 2023 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montefresco Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.23 $10.47 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Path Moscato California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Chardonnay Bourgogne 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LifeVine Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Nobilo Silver Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Spellbound Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 3% premium | 1% |
| Sun Soaked Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| The Hare and The Tortise Pinot Gris King Valley 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Rum Barrel Aged Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Intrinsic Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Fontanelles Chardonnay Pays d'Oc 2019 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| MAN Family Wines Free Run Steen Chenin Blanc Coastal Region 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | 3% premium | 1% |
| Boomtown by Dusted Valley Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 $60.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Leon Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dog Point Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $24.99 | ▲ 13.6% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| EQ Coastal Sauvignon Blanc Casablanca Valley 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Ocean Reserve Blanc de Blanc Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2017 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spy Valley Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
1,651–1,700 of 2,882← PreviousNext →