Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellena Giuseppe Barolo del Commune di la Morra 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.03 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fattoria Pupille Saffredi Maremma Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Bien Nacido Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Meadowrock Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gunbun Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Lot C 91 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $97.99 | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Hundred Suns Old Eight Cut Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Paul Brun Terres Dorees Morgon 2018 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners Rockgarden Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Apogee Pepper Bridge Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Perigee Estate Seven Hills Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.93 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Rioja Alta Tempranillo Vina Aran Rioja Gran Reserva 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| PlumpJack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $115 $192 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Promontory Red Wine Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 1608% premium | <1% |
| R Stuart Love Oregon Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rozes Vintage Porto 2017 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Southing Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $69.03 $111 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon GEO Coombsville Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace Reserve 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.23 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot La Grande Dame Champagne Brut 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walter Hansel Cahill Lane Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $30.53 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walter Hansel South Slope Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alain Graillot Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aquilini Sauvignon Blanc Red Mountain 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $26.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | <1% |
| Arrowood Reserve Speciale Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2014 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Aubichon Cellars Pinot Noir Reserve Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Vigneto Poggio Sant' Enrico Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2012 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | <1% |
| Charles Krug Family Reserve Generations Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Klein 'BX' Bordeaux Blend Walla Walla Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.43 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 125% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $68.53 $91.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Doisy Daene Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% below | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.43 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose La Dame de Montrose Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cielo Centenero Amarone della Valpolicela 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conti Costanti Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Dama Wines GSM Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Vieilles Vignes Cornas 2018 red · 750 ml | $63.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Anthony and David Girard Les Monts Damnes Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $21.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Anthony and David Girard Les Monts Damnes Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.79 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Louis Chave Silene Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% below | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Blanck Classique Riesling Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Imaz Reserva Rioja 2015 red · Rioja · 1500 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanafredda Derthona Colli Tortonesi Timorasso 2021 red · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 115% premium | <1% |
1,601–1,650 of 3,189← PreviousNext →