Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F E Trimbach Gewurztraminer Alsace white · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Textbook Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penguin Bay Vidal Blanc Ice 2013 white · 375 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cascade Cliffs Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize les Creuzettes Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lion Tamer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta Santa Cecili Nero d'Avola Noto 2016 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos de L'Oratoire Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hanna Estate Grown Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reinhold Haart Riesling Piesporter Mosel Kabinett 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Bual Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Monte del Fra Casa Capitei Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Tondonia Reserva Tinto Rioja 2012 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $64.99 | ▲ 18.2% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Azienda Elios Modus Bibendi Macerato Non Filtrado Terre Siciliane Bianco Biodynamic 2019 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Vascos Cromas Gran Reserva Syrah Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $38.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marimar Estate La Masia Don Miguel Vineyard Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $63.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Diora Estate Grown La Grande Lumiere Chardonnay San Bernabe Vineyard Monterrey 2020 white · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Presidential Tawny Port 20 Year Old Ships Decanter dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ricasoli Castello di Brolio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Pascal Bonhomme Vire-Clesse 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $55.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Zinfandel Alexander Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Blanc 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Cheveau Au Buchot Pouilly Fuisse 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Formiga de Vellut Priorat 2020 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 white · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridgecrest Estate Dry Riesling Ribbon Ridge 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Ocean Reserve Blanc de Blanc Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Cuvee 20 Brut Russian River Valley sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DeLille Cellars D2 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.03 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cru Winery Sierra Madre Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lete Vautrain Rose Royal Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Saint Damien Selection Vacqueyras 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Panisse Le Mas Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $49.99 $56.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Post and Beam Chardonnay Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Twomey Cellars Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners Cattle King Syrah Snipes Mountain Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Chianti Classico Petrignano 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,601–1,650 of 2,525← PreviousNext →