Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castello Banfi Chianti Superiore red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 6.2% | ▲ 19.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Galharda Vinho Tinto Douro red · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mirassou Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Natura Rose Twin Pack 2x750mL rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Centerstone Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Le Verre Cuvee Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33% below | 2% |
| Charles Krug Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 37% below | 2% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | 36% premium | 2% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Berry Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Peach Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Sweet Red Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | 2% |
| Tomasello Winery Bing Cherry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Tomasello Winery Tangerine Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Trefethen Double T Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Yellow Tail Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.64 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 18% below | 2% |
| Primo Amore Moscato Veneto white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.90 $11.96 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| El Coto Rioja Crianza red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▼ 6.8% | ▼ 2.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Schmitt Sohne Riesling Crisp and Fruity white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | ▲ 3.6% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.83 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Chardonnay white · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Pinot Grigio white · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Sauvignon Blanc white · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Dark Horse Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Dark Horse Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Dark Horse Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Gazela Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | 20% premium | 2% |
| Madria Moscato Sangria white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | 13% premium | 2% |
| Cline Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Estancia Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Jasper James Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2023 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mark Ryan Winery Board Track Speed Racer Red Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Red Phoenix Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Promesses de France Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chloe Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 3.6% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Estancia Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▼ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mark West Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Richards Wild Irish Rose Red rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | ▲ 14.3% | ▲ 60.1% | 32% below | 2% |
| Roscato Rosso Dolce red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 36.4% | 37% premium | 2% |
| Arrumaco Garnacha Vino de Espana Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bucket List Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.24 $4.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Line 39 Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mason Cellars Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | 2% |
| The Path Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Redwood Highway Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.34 $4.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 4% below | 2% |
| Barefoot Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
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