Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
La Retro Les Annees Folles Vin de France Rouge 2020
red · 1000 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Lyngrove Collection Pinotage Stellenbosch 2023
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2021
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Recanati Cabernet Sauvignon Upper Galilee 2020
red · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Two Angels Petite Sirah Red Hills Lake County 2019
red · 750 ml
$12.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Waterbrook Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2019
red · Loire · 750 ml
$14.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Elvio Tintero Langhe Nebbiolo 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$3.73 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Zinfandel Red Label
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $15.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Malvira Roero Arneis 2023
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bantu Cannonau di Sardegna 2023
red · 750 ml
$12.99——Fairly priced1%
Casal do Ramilo Jackpot Lisbon 2020
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Goose Ridge G3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Heitz Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.73 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pull Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Two Vintners Make Haste Cinsault Yakima Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$7.43 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bledsoe Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley Washington 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$45.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Franciscan Estate California Pinot Noir 2022
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$11.99 $13.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Finger Lakes
red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 $11.99 Sale▲ 9.1%▲ 33.4%Fairly priced2%
Shafer Relentless Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$32.73 $110 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Ulisse Nativae di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020
red · Abruzzo · 750 ml
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vasse Felix Cabernet Sauvignon Filius Margaret River 2019
red · 750 ml
$6.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Calera Pinot Noir Central Coast
red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Chateau Ste Michelle Merlot Columbia Valley
red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $16.99 Sale 0.0%▼ 5.6%Fairly priced8%
typically +5% if it rises
Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mulderbosch Faithful Hound Stellenbosch 2022
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Palmaris Red Reserve Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lynch Moussas Pauillac 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$61.99——Fairly priced2%
Domaine Terlato and Chapoutier L Block Shiraz Pyrenees 2018
red · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fanti Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hartford Court Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kunde Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kysela Pere et Fils HB Picpoul de Pinet 2021
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lange Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Reserve 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $38.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2020
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Melini Borghi d'Elsa Chianti
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.29 $14.59 Clearance 0.0%▲ 32.8%Fairly priced<1%
Vinha da Coutada Velha Red Alentejano 2020
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Affentaler Pinot Noir Baden 2018
red · 750 ml
$8.53 $16.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$60.03 $115 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Guarda Rios Red Blend Alentejo 2020
red · 750 ml
$10.13 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hyland Estates Pinot Noir Petit Estate McMinnville Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Old Kakheti Mukuzani Georgia 2020
red · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Shafer Relentless Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$32.73 $110 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta di Lilliano Chianti Classico 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
William Clark Syrah Horse Heaven Hills
red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.49 $16.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Winzer Krems Classic Blauer Zweigelt Trocken Niederosterreich 2023
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bar Dog Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.73 $14.59 Clearance 0.0%▲ 12.3%Fairly priced1%
Baron de Ley Garnacha Rioja 2022
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
1,601–1,650 of 5,705← PreviousNext →