Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Retro Les Annees Folles Vin de France Rouge 2020 red · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lyngrove Collection Pinotage Stellenbosch 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Cabernet Sauvignon Upper Galilee 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Angels Petite Sirah Red Hills Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Waterbrook Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elvio Tintero Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Zinfandel Red Label red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Roero Arneis 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bantu Cannonau di Sardegna 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casal do Ramilo Jackpot Lisbon 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Heitz Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pull Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Two Vintners Make Haste Cinsault Yakima Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley Washington 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $45.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franciscan Estate California Pinot Noir 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Shafer Relentless Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Ulisse Nativae di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vasse Felix Cabernet Sauvignon Filius Margaret River 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mulderbosch Faithful Hound Stellenbosch 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Palmaris Red Reserve Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Moussas Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Terlato and Chapoutier L Block Shiraz Pyrenees 2018 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fanti Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartford Court Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kunde Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kysela Pere et Fils HB Picpoul de Pinet 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Reserve 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Melini Borghi d'Elsa Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 32.8% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vinha da Coutada Velha Red Alentejano 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Affentaler Pinot Noir Baden 2018 red · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $60.03 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarda Rios Red Blend Alentejo 2020 red · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Pinot Noir Petit Estate McMinnville Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Old Kakheti Mukuzani Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Shafer Relentless Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta di Lilliano Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Clark Syrah Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Winzer Krems Classic Blauer Zweigelt Trocken Niederosterreich 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bar Dog Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Baron de Ley Garnacha Rioja 2022 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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