Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avia Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cakebread Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Silva Dona Dominga Clasico de Familia Chardonnay Valle de Colchagua 2022 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Cosse Reserve du Marquis Brut Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Jacques Bourguignon Pinot Noir Vin de France 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bellacana Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Alexander Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Labrousse Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos du Val Red Blend 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Epiphany Roussane Camp Four Vineyards Santa Barbara County 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Estancia Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▼ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Familia Zuccardi Q Red Blend Uco Valley 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JaM Cellars Sugar Sweet White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | ▼ 31.6% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Long Shadows Poets Leap Riesling Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Noir Wines In Sheep's Clothing Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vivunt Valpolicella Classico Superiore 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zenato Bardolino 2023 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Blufeld Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Haut Perdrias Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chemistry Pinot Noir Rose Bubbles Willamette Valley rosé · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Feudi di San Gregorio Ros'Aura Irpinia Rosato 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 25 Sparkling Brut Cuvee sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +22% if it rises |
| Luciano Ercolino Le Grade Fiano di Avellino 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Majella Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pine Ridge Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Acrobat Pinot Gris Oregon 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Col di Sasso Cabernet Sauvignon Sangiovese Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bouchaine Vin Gris of Pinot Noir Carneros 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chosen Family Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gabarda Garnacha Blanca Carinena 2023 red · 750 ml | $5.39 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hewitt Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mer Soleil Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands Reserve 2019 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neleman 30 Wishes Tempranillo Valencia 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.34 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gramercy Cellars Lower East Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.4% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sphinx Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cesari Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Vieux Cardinal Lafaurie Lalande de Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lula Chardonnay Anderson Valley 2022 white · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pine Ridge Chenin Blanc Viognier California 2023 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Two Worlds Red 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.23 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.73 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kevin White Winery Blue Label Red Blend Yakima Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Poggiarso Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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