Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristom Vineyards Chardonnay Eola Amity Hills 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas LAN Vina Lanciano Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castellare Chianti Classico 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Sansonnet St Emilion 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Drappier Rose de Saignee Brut Rose Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners Legit Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.83 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Pointe Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cooper and Thief Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| St Urbans Hof Piesporter Goldtropfchen Kabinett Mosel 2018 red · Mosel · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| King Estate Willamette Valley Brut Cuvee 2017 sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna V18 Vasca Diciotto Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Claude Martin Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Illusionist Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.43 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Delaforce Curious and Ancient Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Zaca Mesa Inceptive Estate Vineyard Red Blend Santa Ynez Valley 2017 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cade Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2018 white · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Cote d'Or Blanc 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Andrea Oberto Barolo Albarella 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francine Bachelier Reserve du Sanglier Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Thomas Tradition Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Hyland Vineyard Pinot Noir McMinnville 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Charisma Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Imaz Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Jourdan Reserve des Oliviers Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonniere Hautes Brusquieres Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Merlot Estate Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Millet Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Blanck Classique Riesling Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gorman Winery Old Scratch Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Chardonnay Columbia Valley white · Washington · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schramsberg Brut Rose Methode Traditionnelle North Coast 2020 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Pinot Noir Medici Vineyard Chehalem Mountain 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Melville Estate Syrah Sta. Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Champagne Demi Sec Cuvee Sublime sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $41.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Val di Suga Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Fiou Terroir Silex Sancerre 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel En Aarde Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $57.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Robert Keenan Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $48.43 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Double Canyon Winery Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bott Geyl Les Elements Gewurztraminer Alsace 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 750 ml | $60.99 $63.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
1,551–1,600 of 2,525← PreviousNext →