Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Little Sheep of France Viognier Vin de France 2025 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| te Pa Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Couly Dutheil Chenin Blanc Chinon 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elena Walch Pinot Grigio Selezione Alto Adige 2021 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Farmers Market Bianco white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nine Hats Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace white · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 50.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Wine In Books Organic White Spain 2021 white · 3000 ml | $14.93 $29.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Sauvignon Blanc Ancient Lakes 2019 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fage Bordeaux Graves De Vayres Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frey Organic Sauvignon Blanc Mendocino California 2023 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frisk Prickly Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Ilauri Tavo Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2021 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simple Life Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Succession Wines Conner Lee Chardonnay Wahluke Slope 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 1% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Franciscan Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Game Box Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| J Vineyards Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Illuminate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Scacciadiavoli Spoleto Trebbiano Spoletino 2019 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arrumaco Verdejo white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1% premium | 1% |
| Barefoot Red Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Butternut Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | ▼ 5.6% | — | 1% premium | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles 2020 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hook or Crook Heritage Chardonnay Lodi 2023 white · Lodi · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hugl Gruner Veltliner Weinviertel 2025 white · 1000 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Frenchtown Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2024 white · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cave and Cove Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau La Graviere White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Chardonnay white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fresco di Masi Verona Bianco Biologico white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Penya Viognier Cotes Catalanes 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quail Oak Moscato California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Salvatore Molettieri Apianum Fiano di Avellino 2019 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Pink Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Vint by Robert Mondavi Private Selection Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.95 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Dry Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Buttery Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | 2% premium | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Beringer Main and Vine Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Les Nauds Entre Deux Mers Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Organic Virgen Chardonnay Tupungato 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seaglass Sauvignon Blanc Santa Barbara white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| 9 is Enough Orange Bianco Puglia white · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
1,551–1,600 of 2,882← PreviousNext →