Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Easton Pinot Noir Duarte Georgetown Vineyard Sierra Foothills 2013 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feudi di San Gregorio Primitivo di Manduria 2017 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bellemare Picpoul de Pinet 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Handley Cellars Syrah Kazmet Vineyard Redwood Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Les Girelles Picpoul de Pinet 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kysela Pere et Fils HB Picpoul de Pinet 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Pinot Noir Temperance Hill Vineyard Eola Amity Hills 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mano's Eagles Championship Eagles Etched Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2018 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Waterbrook Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Anselmi San Vincenzo Sauvignon Blend 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Dievole Le Due Arbie Chianti Superiore 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fiabe di Carta Barbera Piemonte 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $6.93 $11.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frey Organic Natural Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Juggernaut Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 16.3% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Louis Jadot Pinot Noir Burgundy 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carmel Selected Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cave du Chateau de Chenas Coeur de Granit Chenas 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $260 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes Vierville Cote de Nuits Villages Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.73 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldschmidt Fidelity Red Blend Alexander Valley 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Anselmi San Vincenzo Sauvignon Blend 2023 red · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Astorre Noti Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Le Portail Cheverny Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Harmony Red Blend Chile 2024 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Tenuta Regaleali Nero d'Avola red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Regain La Cote de Brumes Petit Manseng Jurancon Sec 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos la Coutale Cahors 2020 red · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nuit de Lumieres Grenache Noir Reserve Pays d'Oc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Borsao Tres Picos Campo de Borja 2019 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuvee Delye Les Pierres Grises Saint Veran 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Organic Vegan Virgen Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Biblioteca Pinot Noir Estate Reserve Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Demoiselles de la Font du Loup Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martin Woods Tualatin Estate Vineyard Gamay Tualatin Hills 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Outerbound Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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