Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Fonpiqueyre Haut Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Esprit de Pavie Bordeaux Rouge 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles Willow Creek District 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Monte del Fra Ca del Magro Custoza Superiore 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paxis Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Warre's Warrior Reserve Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 $64.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Lamartine Cuvee Particuliere Cahors 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emblem Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca del Marquesado Tempranillo Rioja 2024 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lunato Lambrusco Italy sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Misfits and Mavens Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nuiton Beaunoy Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Palacio de Otono Reserva Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Zion Winery Imperial Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ordonez Triton Tinta de Toro Old Vines Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borreo Single Vineyard Sangiovese Rosa Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Krug Peter Mondavi Family Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $40.73 $143 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $55.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Le Verre Cuvee Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve 2x750 mL Gift Pack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vina Lonco Kalew Chardonnay Chile 2025 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nicodemi Le Murate Montepulciano d'Abruzzo Colline Teramane 2018 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ravanal Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Gran Reserva 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Secret Reserve Red Blend Central Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca La Anita Cabernet Sauvignon Agrelo Luna Single Vineyard Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lodez Cinsault Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Styring Vineyards Signature Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dionysos Fileri Trifilia 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feuerheerd's Douro Red Reserva Anchor Wine Port Barrel Aged 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Decero Malbec Agrelo 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golan Heights Winery Gilgal Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Blend Golan Heights Israel 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Rose Gift Box sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $50.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +6% if it rises |
| One Stone Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cult Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Famiglia Bruno Barbera d'Alba 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Depagneux Cuvee Louis Beaujolais Vieilles Vignes 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tresor des Sables Tavel Rose 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Venge Vineyards Scouts Honor Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cascina San Lorenzo Barbera d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Kosta Browne Chardonnay One Sixteen Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay La Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Durdilly Les Grandes Coasses Beaujolais 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Peter Paul Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.93 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vinas Elias Mora DO Tinto 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zmora Semi Sweet Cabernet Sauvignon Israel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
1,501–1,550 of 9,968← PreviousNext →