Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Rombauer Vineyards Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2022
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$59.99——Fairly priced2%
BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2019
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$8.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Serena Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Milbrandt Vineyards The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Neyers Sage Canyon Red Wine California 2019
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$8.23 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hedges Family Estate Red Mountain Estate Red Wine 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Moet and Chandon Pharrell Nectar Imperial Rose Demi Sec Champagne
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$62.99 0.0%—Fairly priced10%
typically +6% if it rises
Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$15.93 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Long Meadow Ranch Merlot Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Luc Belaire Gold Brut
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.73 $36.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
M Chapoutier Crozes Hermitage Les Meysonniers Blanc 2020
white · Rhone · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pietro Caciorgna Etna Rosso Guardoilvento 2020
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$8.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Oloroso 15 Year Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$12.93 $45.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend 2021
red · 750 ml
$7.93 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gerard and Pierre Morin Sancerre Rouge 2020
white · Loire · 750 ml
$24.93 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fess Parker The Big Easy Santa Barbara County 2018
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$26.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Les Aphillanthes 1921 Rasteau 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$16.73 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Rose Champagne Grand Cru
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$69.99 $74.99 Sale——Fairly priced11%
typically +6% if it rises
Trione Flatridge Ranch Zinfandel 2018
red · 750 ml
$34.99——Fairly priced1%
Cortonesi La Manella Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Joseph Pascal Meursault 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$43.79 $72.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Marc Deschamps Les Champs de Cri Pouilly Fume 2019
white · Loire · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rombauer Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.53 $52.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vivier Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$22.19 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marchesi Di Barolo Barolo
red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$49.99 $54.99 Sale▲ 5.8%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced4%
Contratto Millesimato Pas Dose Metodo Classico 2021
red · 750 ml
$34.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine Tempier Bandol Rose 2023
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$17.93 $57.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Ste Michelle Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$26.23 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Delaforce His Eminence's Choice Tawny Porto 10 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Les Grands Bois Cuvee Marc Rasteau 2018
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$8.33 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Prisoner Wine Company Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$23.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Vineyards Anderson Valley 2023
red · 750 ml
$50.99 $54.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Boen Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2018
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$15.03 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clement et Florian Berthier Sancerre Rose 2020
rosé · Loire · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—18% premium<1%
Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$33.53 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Greysac Medoc
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$31.99▲ 10.3%▲ 45.5%Fairly priced3%
FEL Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020
red · 750 ml
$11.73 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Bernkasteler Badstube 2023
white · 750 ml
$53.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Walla Walla Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Decoy Limited Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +5% if it rises
Domaine Jean Pascal et Fils Meursault 2018
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—18% premium<1%
Mia Lou Roter Riesling Rheingau 2022
white · Rheingau · 750 ml
$7.93 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stoller Winery Estate Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Grey Stack Cellars Grenache Four Brothers Vineyard Bennett Valley 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$14.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gunbun Cabernet Sauvignon 2022
red · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
LEcole No 41 Syrah Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.39 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,501–1,550 of 2,525← PreviousNext →