Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rombauer Vineyards Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2022 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Serena Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neyers Sage Canyon Red Wine California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hedges Family Estate Red Mountain Estate Red Wine 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Pharrell Nectar Imperial Rose Demi Sec Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Long Meadow Ranch Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luc Belaire Gold Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.73 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| M Chapoutier Crozes Hermitage Les Meysonniers Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Etna Rosso Guardoilvento 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Oloroso 15 Year Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker The Big Easy Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Les Aphillanthes 1921 Rasteau 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Rose Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Trione Flatridge Ranch Zinfandel 2018 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cortonesi La Manella Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Meursault 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Marc Deschamps Les Champs de Cri Pouilly Fume 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vivier Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marchesi Di Barolo Barolo red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 $54.99 Sale | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Contratto Millesimato Pas Dose Metodo Classico 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Tempier Bandol Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $17.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $26.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Delaforce His Eminence's Choice Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Les Grands Bois Cuvee Marc Rasteau 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Vineyards Anderson Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $50.99 $54.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boen Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2018 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clement et Florian Berthier Sancerre Rose 2020 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Greysac Medoc red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | ▲ 10.3% | ▲ 45.5% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| FEL Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Bernkasteler Badstube 2023 white · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decoy Limited Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Jean Pascal et Fils Meursault 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Mia Lou Roter Riesling Rheingau 2022 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Winery Estate Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grey Stack Cellars Grenache Four Brothers Vineyard Bennett Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gunbun Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Syrah Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.39 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,501–1,550 of 2,525← PreviousNext →