Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruhlmann Riesling Vieilles Vignes 2021 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Wolftrap Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vinum Cellars Chardonnay Monterey 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cataclysm Wine Co Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Garriga Entre Deux Mers Bordeaux Blanc white · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Knotty Vines Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 17.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| La Spinetta Ca di Pian Barbera 2023 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Vigne Nikiara Red Wine Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Joseph Drouhin Macon Villages 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penya Rouge Cotes Catalanes 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Susana Balbo Wines Crios Rose of Malbec Mendoza 2024 rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Van Duzer Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canneto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Infusions de Villa Noria Organic Blanc de Noirs Pet Nat white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +10% if it rises |
| Prost Riesling Mosel Feinherb 2019 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wohler Bridge Chardonnay Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yarden Hermon Rose Golan Heights 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canyon Road Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chasing Rain Red Blend Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sebastiani Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Cheze Cotes de Bordeaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Terlato and Chapoutier Shiraz Lieu Dit Malakoff Pyrenees 2017 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gallo Livingston Cellars Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 26.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Argiolas Costera Cannonau di Sardegna 2018 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Garzon Albarino Reserva Uruguay 2021 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Santos Lima Blend Portugal Red Blend Lisboa red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +5% if it rises |
| J Roget Brut Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Changing Tides Syrah Joven 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Grange Clinet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Housleys Century Oak Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Judy's Vineyard Mokelumne River 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hubert de Bouard Chateau de Francs Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Adegas Gran Vinum Nessa Albarino 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de l'Epinay Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Daniel Pollier En Messie Saint Veran 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglie Pinot Grigio Veneto white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Fetzer Chardonnay Anthony's Hill white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.83 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hands of Time Chardonnay Sonoma County 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Julia's Dazzle Rose Columbia Valley 2023 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mad Bird Dark Malbec Mendoza Reserva 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Cristina Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.43 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Bramito Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Browne Family Forest Project Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Blanc Rouge Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine Alain Geoffroy Petit Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr L Riesling Dry 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hive and Honey Gewurztraminer white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.49 $11.49 Sale | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
1,501–1,550 of 6,416← PreviousNext →