Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavis Sauvignon Blanc Trevenezia 2024 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Perusini Pinot Grigio Colli Orientali del Friuli 2020 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Sauvignon Blanc Walker Bay 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Red Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +4% if it rises |
| Twisted Cedar Chardonnay Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Wellsley Farms Pinot Grigio Della Venezia DOC white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Box Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cakebread Family Bezel Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2024 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Caibourdin Les Racines Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loubadere Cotes de Gascogne Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pull Chardonnay Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Francis Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Ksara Merwah Bekaa Valley Lebanon White 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les 5 Chemins Chardonnay Val de Loire 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $3.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Game Box Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Lavis Sauvignon Blanc Trevenezie 2021 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lydian Alto White Blend Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Alqueve Tradicional White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Secrets de Mar Blanco Terra Alta 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home White Merlot white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Villa Jolanda Moscato Pineapple white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Amisfield Estate Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Areyna Torrontes Cafayate Salta 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca PE Vinho Verde White 2023 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fish Eye Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Bianco Emilia Romagna white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Maison Louis Jadot Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penya Viognier Cotes Catalanes 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | 1% premium | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Natural Blackberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Red Raspberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barramundi Weekender White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Briganti Pecorino Terre Di Chieti IGT white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cavit Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.53 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corbett Canyon Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Dark Horse Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ferrari Carano Fume Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Henri Bourgeois Petit Bourgeois Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L A Cetto Chenin Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Old Coach Road Sauvignon Blanc Nelson 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,501–1,550 of 2,882← PreviousNext →