Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodegas LAN Crianza Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Caminos de Sacramento Rioja Alavesa 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Freres Perroud Amethyste Brouilly 2018 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Ribolla Gialla Colli Orientali del Friuli 2019 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ramey Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.53 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tattoo Girl Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Southern Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Livermore Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Beaux Freres Sequiter Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Zena Crown Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolis Amarone della Valpolicella Classico Ambrosan 2011 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paraduxx Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bertand Les Petits Bois Moulin a Vent 2018 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $55.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Underwood Pinot Noir Oregon 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignerons de Puisseguin Lussac Peraclos Montagne Saint Emilion 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Argento Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Battle Creek Unconditional Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Ego EL GORU Red Blend Jumilla red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Haut Lalande Grand Vin Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| David Finlayson Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2021 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominio Los Pinos 0 Percent Tinto 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fetzer Cabernet Sauvignon Valley Oaks red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Pinot Noir Petaluma Gap 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Wilkes Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mystic Andes Cabernet Sauvignon Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Kalimna Shiraz South Australia 2018 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Banty Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Gillmore Mariposa Red Blend Chile 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.13 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Scotto Family Cellars Reserve Zinfandel Mohr Fry Ranch Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Underwood Pinot Noir Oregon 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cape Original Cabernet Sauvignon Western Cape 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Sir Walter's Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Punset Barbera d'Alba 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bethel Heights Estate Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chasing Rain Red Mountain Red Blend 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dunham Cellars Trutina Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mazza Vineyards Country Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Noble Vines 181 Merlot Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Plumpjack Estate Merlot Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Beach Glass Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Powerline Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.73 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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