Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Crawford Illuminate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Smith and Hook Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Italian Christmas White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| J Lohr Chardonnay Arroyo Vista white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 3.7% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cavicchioli 1928 Prosecco Holiday Edition sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| California Roots Chardonnay white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| I Castelli Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10% below | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Pol Roger Brut Reserve Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $145 $160 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Smith and Hook Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Three Thieves Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Arundel Cellars Soulmates Blush Lake Erie rosé · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $220 | 0.0% | — | 106% premium | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 8% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sterling Vineyards Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +9% if it rises |
| Rombauer Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Buttery Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | 2% premium | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Nobilo Silver Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| 14 Hands Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Philippe Glavier La Grace d'Alphael Extra Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $61.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chaddsford Sunset Blush rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Portell Cava Brut Rosado NV sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +8% if it rises |
| Dona Paula Estate Black Edition Bold Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Luc Belaire Luxe Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| J Roget Brut Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| J Roget Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Cupcake Citruskissed Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| The Hess Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Allomi Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Martini and Rossi Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +8% if it rises |
| Borges Gatao Vinho Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23% below | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +37% if it rises |
| Verdi Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 43% below | 13% typically +12% if it rises |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Rose Columbia Valley rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Relax Riesling Twin Pack 2x750mL white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Roscato Rosso and Moscato 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Taittinger La Francaise Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau de Cosse Reserve du Marquis Brut Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 25 Sparkling Brut Cuvee sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +22% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 30 Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40% below | 13% typically +22% if it rises |
| Three Finger Jack Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 $20.49 Sale | ▲ 2.5% | ▲ 2.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lange Estate Winery and Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 $31.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Sweet Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 23% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 24% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Undurraga Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Undurraga Carmenere Reserva Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
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