Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolis Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force Majeure Parabellum Coulee Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Jeannin Naltet Clos des Grands Voyens Monopole Mercurey 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.73 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Meyer Black Pin Pinot Noir Pfalz Germany 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Tour Pibran Pauillac 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | ▲ 5.7% | ▲ 23.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Giscours La Sirene de Giscours Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Damilano Barolo Lecinquevigne 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fairsing Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bound and Determined Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Acumen Mountainside Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Chailles Cornas 2018 red · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Luciano Ercolino Rajamagra Taurasi Riserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 1413 2021 dessert · 500 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Barbaresco 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ricasoli Castello di Brolio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Sauvignon Shiraz Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Warre's Otima Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| E Guigal Saint Joseph Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $36.99 $39.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne 2013 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Montresor Amarone della Valpolicella 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pali Wine Co Chardonnay Huber Vineyard Santa Rita Hills 2015 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meadowcroft Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Il Carnasciale Ottantadue Valdarno di Sopra 2018 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $56.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $67.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Recanati David's Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee Reserve 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.03 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domenico Clerico Langhe Nebbiolo Capisme-e 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +37% if it rises |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Veeder Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Snowden Vineyards Merlot Lost Vineyard Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.53 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.49 | ▲ 2.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Atlas Peak American Super Tuscan Blend Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raymond District Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pommery Grand Cru Royal Brut Champagne 2008 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $44.73 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fairsing Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Pinot Noir Bourgogne Cote d'Or 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bound and Determined Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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