Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Maillart Platine Champagne Extra Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12% below | 5% typically +17% if it rises |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $48.99 $54.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | 23% below | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Fonseca Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $60.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.4% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Les Tetes Les Parcelles Tete Nat Orange Vin de France Sparkling 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +10% if it rises |
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 12% premium | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Piper Sonoma Brut sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 53.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | 51% below | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Bolla Amarone Della Valpolicella Classico red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | ▲ 0.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Duckhorn Sauvignon Blanc North Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Reserve red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Beringer Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.6% | 48% below | 5% |
| Rutherford Hill Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 48.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Sterling Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.49 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| MacMurray Estate Vineyards Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Santa Margherita Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Louis Jadot Beaujolais red · Beaujolais · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | ▲ 9.3% | ▲ 26.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cuvaison Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Grgich Hills Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Louis Latour Pinot Noir Bourgogne red · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cloudy Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Oberon Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.19 $31.19 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Wente Vineyards Charles Wetmore Cabernet Sauvignon Livermore Valley Estate Grown red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 68% premium | 5% |
| Wente Vineyards Pinot Noir Riva Ranch Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 67% premium | 5% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 48% premium | 4% |
| Napa Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $30.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ferrari Carano Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.09 $29.09 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 30% premium | 4% |
| Kendall Jackson Grand Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.09 $28.09 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | 14% premium | 4% |
| Argyle Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▼ 3.8% | ▲ 3.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Mont Redon Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $29.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Decoy Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Decoy Pinot Noir Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Carpineto Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.09 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Il Poggione Rosso di Montalcino red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.09 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| G H Mumm Grand Cordon Champagne with 2 Glasses Gift Set sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.43 $50.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Kenwood Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Jack London Vineyard Sonoma Mountain red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Marchesi Di Barolo Barolo red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 $54.99 Sale | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Charles Krug Peter Mondavi Family Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Catena Alta Chardonnay Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
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