Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borges Gatao Vinho Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23% below | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Verdi Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 43% below | 13% typically +12% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Rose Columbia Valley rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Relax Riesling Twin Pack 2x750mL white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Roscato Rosso and Moscato 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau de Cosse Reserve du Marquis Brut Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 25 Sparkling Brut Cuvee sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +22% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 30 Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40% below | 13% typically +22% if it rises |
| Three Finger Jack Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 $20.49 Sale | ▲ 2.5% | ▲ 2.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Sweet Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 23% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 24% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Undurraga Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Undurraga Carmenere Reserva Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Rocca delle Macie Sasyr Tuscan Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sweet Bitch Moscato Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Villa des Anges Cinsault Vin de France Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 20.0% | — | 23% premium | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Jacquin's Creme de Cacao White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Valenzano Red White and Blueberry Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Riunite Lambrusco sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 39% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Meiomi Bright Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Charles Smith Bubbled Kung Fu Girl Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Fruit Infusions Sweet Peach White Blend white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Italian Christmas Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Blush sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Brut sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 12% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Andre Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Falesco Vitiano Rosso Umbria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +13% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pink Flamingo Catalina Estrada Gris de Gris Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 25.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cap Royal Cuvee Tradition Bordeaux Superieur Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Montechiara Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +22% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 22% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Mouton Cadet x Nathan Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Napa Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | 45% below | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Luc Belaire Rare Rose rosé · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Briganti Pinot Grigio d'Abruzzo white · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| La Terre Cabernet Sauvignon Spain red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.0% | 14% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| La Terre Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.0% | 8% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Weihnacht's Wein Riesling Spatlese Rheinhessen white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| South Shore Wine Company Pet Nat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sunny With a Chance of Flowers Rose Monterey rosé · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 3.3% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Fre Brut Alcohol Removed sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Weis Vineyards Semi Dry Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Schmitt Sohne Sweet Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | ▲ 3.6% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
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