Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonny Doon Vineyard White Wine of The Earth Le Cigare Blanc Central Coast 2021 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 1% |
| Straight Shooter Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Serre Romani Petits Grains de Folie Cotes Catalanes Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Wellsley Farms Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Le Noble Cuvee Reserve Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Valdihuete Verdejo Rueda 2021 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Black Pearl Chenin Blanc Swartland 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Seven Hills Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 $39.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2019 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% below | 1% |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.03 $11.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 27.8% | 26% below | 1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine White Merlot white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 26% below | 1% |
| Bee You Riesling Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 4% |
| Manischewitz Cream White Concord white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 25% below | 1% |
| Sao Goncalo Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Villa Wolf Riesling Dry Pfalz 2022 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Fugaz Loureiro Vinho Verde 2024 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $5.39 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Lothian Vineyards Horny Owl Sauvignon Blanc Western Cape 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Achaia Cellars Roditis Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 25% below | 1% |
| Brancott Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 25% below | 4% |
| Monkey Bay Sauvignon Blanc New Zealand white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 25% below | 1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Karia Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $36.99 Sale | ▼ 7.5% | ▲ 5.7% | 25% below | 3% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Gran Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2024 white · 750 ml | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Chardonnay Truchard Vineyard Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.03 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 1% |
| Brooks Winery La Chenaie Vineyard Riesling Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Le Bois Dore Chenin Blanc Saumur 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $6.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Westmount Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 24% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Cannonball Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 24% below | 1% |
| Chateau Les Millaux Bordeaux Blanc white · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.83 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 24% below | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 23% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Astica Chardonnay Argentina white · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2025 white · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 23% below | 1% |
| Franzia Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | 23% below | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Robert Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 1% |
| Gallo Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.74 $11.49 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23% below | 1% |
| Bella Sera Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | 23% below | 2% |
| Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2021 white · 750 ml | $6.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2022 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2023 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 1% |
| Matteo Braidot Pinot Grigio Friuli 2019 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22% below | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 22% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Franzia Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 22% below | 4% |
| Villa Wolf Gewurztraminer Pfalz 2023 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
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