Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Bonny Doon Vineyard White Wine of The Earth Le Cigare Blanc Central Coast 2021
white · Central Coast · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—27% below1%
Straight Shooter Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—27% below<1%
Serre Romani Petits Grains de Folie Cotes Catalanes Blanc 2021
white · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—27% below<1%
Wellsley Farms Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 0.0%—27% below8%
typically +9% if it rises
Le Noble Cuvee Reserve Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—27% below<1%
Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—27% below<1%
Valdihuete Verdejo Rueda 2021
white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$8.99 0.0%—27% below<1%
Black Pearl Chenin Blanc Swartland 2021
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—27% below<1%
Seven Hills Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023
white · Washington · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—27% below<1%
Domaine Gerard Tremblay Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$34.99 $39.99 Sale 0.0%—27% below1%
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2019
white · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—26% below1%
Franzia Chardonnay
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.03 $11.49 Clearance 0.0%▲ 27.8%26% below1%
Beringer Main and Vine White Merlot
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.43 $8.29 Clearance 0.0%▲ 3.8%26% below1%
Bee You Riesling Monterey County
white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 0.0%—25% below4%
Manischewitz Cream White Concord
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 6.7%25% below1%
Sao Goncalo Vinho Verde
white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 0.0%—25% below8%
typically +10% if it rises
Villa Wolf Riesling Dry Pfalz 2022
white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—25% below<1%
Fugaz Loureiro Vinho Verde 2024
white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml
$5.39 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—25% below<1%
Lothian Vineyards Horny Owl Sauvignon Blanc Western Cape 2021
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$6.03 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—25% below<1%
Achaia Cellars Roditis Greece White 2024
white · 750 ml
$9.99——25% below1%
Brancott Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough
white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.59 0.0%▲ 4.3%25% below4%
Monkey Bay Sauvignon Blanc New Zealand
white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.33 $15.59 Clearance 0.0%▲ 20.0%25% below1%
Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Karia Chardonnay Napa Valley
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$32.99 $36.99 Sale▼ 7.5%▲ 5.7%25% below3%
Luis Felipe Edwards Gran Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2024
white · 750 ml
$10.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%—25% below1%
Nickel and Nickel Chardonnay Truchard Vineyard Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$39.03 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—25% below<1%
Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc 2024
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—25% below1%
Brooks Winery La Chenaie Vineyard Riesling Willamette Valley 2019
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—24% below<1%
Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc 2022
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—24% below<1%
Le Bois Dore Chenin Blanc Saumur 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$6.23 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—24% below<1%
Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc 2023
white · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—24% below<1%
Westmount Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—24% below<1%
Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $8.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 12.5%24% below12%
typically +11% if it rises
Cannonball Chardonnay 2023
white · 750 ml
$9.99——24% below1%
Chateau Les Millaux Bordeaux Blanc
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.83 $11.39 Clearance 0.0%▲ 3.6%24% below1%
Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $8.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 12.5%23% below12%
typically +11% if it rises
Astica Chardonnay Argentina
white · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%—23% below7%
typically +10% if it rises
Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2025
white · 750 ml
$6.99——23% below1%
Franzia Pinot Grigio Colombard
white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.69 0.0%▲ 26.7%23% below8%
typically +12% if it rises
Robert Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—23% below<1%
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2021
white · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$8.53 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—23% below1%
Gallo Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.74 $11.49 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%23% below1%
Bella Sera Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $11.99 Sale▲ 9.1%▲ 33.4%23% below2%
Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2021
white · 750 ml
$6.99 0.0%—23% below1%
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2022
white · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$10.13 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—23% below1%
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2023
white · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$15.99 $16.99 Sale 0.0%—23% below1%
Matteo Braidot Pinot Grigio Friuli 2019
white · Friuli · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0% 0.0%22% below1%
Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $8.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 12.5%22% below12%
typically +11% if it rises
Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $8.99 Sale 0.0%—22% below8%
typically +10% if it rises
Franzia Moscato
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.59 0.0%▲ 4.0%22% below4%
Villa Wolf Gewurztraminer Pfalz 2023
white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$11.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%—22% below<1%
151–200 of 2,882← PreviousNext →