Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Achaval Ferrer Cabernet Franc Mendoza 2019
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$11.23 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—45% below<1%
Innocent Bystander Pinot Noir Central Otago 2024
red · 750 ml
$9.99——45% below1%
Vespa Il Bruno dei Vespa Primitivo Salento 2018
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—45% below<1%
Bodegas Ego Goru Gold Red Blend Jumilla 2017
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—45% below<1%
Court Rollan Pater Cabernet Sauvignon Alto Totihue 2022
red · 750 ml
$10.99——45% below1%
Santa Carolina Carolina Assemblage Valle Central 2018
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—45% below<1%
Pagos del Rey Condado de Oriza Ribera del Duero Reserva 2018
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—44% below<1%
Rocky Pond Winery Proprietary Rock Red Blend 2019
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—44% below<1%
Casa Primicia Rioja Crianza 2017
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—44% below<1%
Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—44% below<1%
Ridolfi Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—44% below1%
Addendum by Fess Parker Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—44% below2%
Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—44% below<1%
Geyser Peak Winery Cabernet Sauvignon 2021
red · 750 ml
$5.39 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—44% below<1%
Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$48.99 0.0%—44% below1%
Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$115 0.0%—44% below<1%
Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—44% below1%
Klinker Brick Farrah Syrah Mokelumne River 2022
red · 750 ml
$11.99——44% below1%
Porta 6 Vinho Tinto Lisboa 2020
red · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—44% below<1%
Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Cuvee Simone Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2018
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—44% below<1%
Duca di Salaparuta Oniris Grillo Sicilia 2024
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$10.99——44% below1%
Vespa Il Bruno dei Vespa Primitivo Salento 2020
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$7.43 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—44% below<1%
Wild Vines Blackberry Merlot
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%44% below2%
Cabro Xarel lo Penedes 2021
red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml
$2.93 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—43% below<1%
Majella The Musician Cabernet Shiraz Coonawarra 2021
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—43% below<1%
Domaine Courtois La Grange Vinsobres Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—43% below1%
Emerson Brown Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—43% below<1%
Guidobono Langhe Nebbiolo 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$7.19 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—43% below<1%
Seregho Alighieri Possesioni Rosso del Veronese 2020
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—43% below<1%
Urgency Pinot Noir 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—43% below<1%
Big Smooth Zinfandel Lodi 2021
red · Lodi · 750 ml
$9.99——43% below1%
Fortnight Cabernet Sauvignon 2019
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—43% below<1%
Maison Nicolas Idiart Pinot Noir Val de Loire 2021
red · Loire · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—43% below<1%
MontGras Day One Gran Reserva Carmenere Valle de Colchagua 2023
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$8.99——43% below1%
Sycamore Lane Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$1.93 $6.54 Clearance 0.0%—43% below1%
Chateau Fontaine de Genin Bordeaux Rouge 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$2.93 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—42% below<1%
Ho Ho Ho Cabernet Sauvignon Screen Printed Bottle
red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99——42% below8%
typically +8% if it rises
Zuazo Gaston Rioja Crianza 2021
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—42% below1%
Be Human Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley
red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%—42% below4%
Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$79.99 $89.99 Sale 0.0%—42% below1%
Goose Ridge G3 Merlot Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—42% below<1%
CVNE Bela Ribera del Duero 2019
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—42% below<1%
Hearst Ranch Winery Bunkhouse Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—42% below<1%
La Purisima Monastrell Yecla 2023
red · 750 ml
$8.99——42% below1%
Saverio Faro Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2019
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—42% below<1%
Chalk Hill Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0%—42% below6%
typically +4% if it rises
Maison Nicolas Idiart Pinot Noir Val de Loire 2020
red · Loire · 750 ml
$8.23 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—42% below<1%
La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—41% below<1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$56.99 0.0%—41% below1%
Kunde Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2016
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%41% below<1%
151–200 of 5,705← PreviousNext →