Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achaval Ferrer Cabernet Franc Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Innocent Bystander Pinot Noir Central Otago 2024 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 45% below | 1% |
| Vespa Il Bruno dei Vespa Primitivo Salento 2018 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego Goru Gold Red Blend Jumilla 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Court Rollan Pater Cabernet Sauvignon Alto Totihue 2022 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | 45% below | 1% |
| Santa Carolina Carolina Assemblage Valle Central 2018 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Pagos del Rey Condado de Oriza Ribera del Duero Reserva 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Rocky Pond Winery Proprietary Rock Red Blend 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Casa Primicia Rioja Crianza 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Ridolfi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Addendum by Fess Parker Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 2% |
| Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Geyser Peak Winery Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.39 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $48.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Klinker Brick Farrah Syrah Mokelumne River 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Porta 6 Vinho Tinto Lisboa 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Cuvee Simone Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Duca di Salaparuta Oniris Grillo Sicilia 2024 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Vespa Il Bruno dei Vespa Primitivo Salento 2020 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Wild Vines Blackberry Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 44% below | 2% |
| Cabro Xarel lo Penedes 2021 red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Majella The Musician Cabernet Shiraz Coonawarra 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Domaine Courtois La Grange Vinsobres Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | 1% |
| Emerson Brown Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Guidobono Langhe Nebbiolo 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Seregho Alighieri Possesioni Rosso del Veronese 2020 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Urgency Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Big Smooth Zinfandel Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 43% below | 1% |
| Fortnight Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Pinot Noir Val de Loire 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| MontGras Day One Gran Reserva Carmenere Valle de Colchagua 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 43% below | 1% |
| Sycamore Lane Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $1.93 $6.54 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | 1% |
| Chateau Fontaine de Genin Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| Ho Ho Ho Cabernet Sauvignon Screen Printed Bottle red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | 42% below | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Zuazo Gaston Rioja Crianza 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Be Human Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 4% |
| Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 $89.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Merlot Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| CVNE Bela Ribera del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| Hearst Ranch Winery Bunkhouse Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| La Purisima Monastrell Yecla 2023 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Saverio Faro Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| Chalk Hill Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Pinot Noir Val de Loire 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $8.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | 1% |
| Kunde Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 41% below | <1% |
151–200 of 5,705← PreviousNext →