Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Pierre Amadieu Romane Machotte Gigondas 2023
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$25.99——Fairly priced1%
Bledsoe McDaniels LFG Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Oregon 2023
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$45.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2022
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$250 0.0%—88% premium1%
Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$250 0.0%—104% premium1%
Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$230 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$220 0.0%—104% premium1%
Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$300 0.0%—192% premium1%
Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel En Aarde Valley 2023
red · 750 ml
$57.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet Clos des Folatieres 1er Cru 2023
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$125 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Salvaterra Valpolicella Classico Superiore Ripasso 2023
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$19.99 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Penfolds Bin 389 Cabernet Shiraz South Australia 2022
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—40% premium1%
Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$36.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Fattoria le Pupile Poggio Valente Toscana Rosso 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Susana Balbo Wines Brioso Red Blend Mendoza 2023
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$42.99——99% premium1%
Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Continuum Proprietary Red Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$260 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2023
red · Marlborough · 750 ml
$42.99——Fairly priced1%
Quattro Theory Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Quattro Theory Merlot Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—29% premium1%
Kith and Kin Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$47.99——Fairly priced1%
Rene Bouvier Crais de Chene Fixin 2022
red · 750 ml
$69.99 $76.99 Sale 0.0%—278% premium1%
Tenuta Luce Luce della Vite Toscana 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—192% premium1%
Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Vineyards Anderson Valley 2023
red · 750 ml
$50.99 $54.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$69.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Musar Gaston Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2018
red · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—190% premium1%
Price Family Estates Three Sticks Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2023
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$33.99——Fairly priced1%
Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolias Morgon Cote du Py 2024
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$26.99——Fairly priced1%
COS Zibibbo In Pithos Terre Siciliane 2023
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$41.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$700▲ 16.7%—217% premium1%
Educated Guess Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2023
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$37.99——Fairly priced1%
Pombal do Vesuvio Douro 2022
red · Douro · 750 ml
$30.99 $32.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon 2023
red · 1000 ml
$64.99——Fairly priced1%
Matthews Cuvee Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Whitehall Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$35.99 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bodegas Roda Rioja Sela 2023
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$38.99 0.0%—80% premium1%
Truchard Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2023
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Catena Alta Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$59.99——Fairly priced1%
Catena Alta Malbec Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$59.99——74% premium1%
Dancing Crow Old Stake Field Blend Red 2022
red · 750 ml
$34.99——Fairly priced1%
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2022
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$55.99 $59.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Chanson Beaune 1er Cru Clos des Marconnets 2021
red · 750 ml
$58.99 $64.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Pierre Marie Chermette Les Trois Roches Moulin a Vent 2023
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—30% premium1%
Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$30.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bledsoe Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley Washington 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$45.99——Fairly priced1%
Petit Castel Judean Hills Israel Red 2023
red · 750 ml
$49.99——214% premium1%
Cakebread Family Bezel Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$24.99 $26.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cluster F Grenache Yakima Valley 2023
red · Washington · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine du Clos des poulettes Vierville Cotes de Nuits Village Rouge 2022
red · 750 ml
$36.99——Fairly priced1%
151–200 of 2,413← PreviousNext →