Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Tenuta Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2018
red · Abruzzo · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
The Eyrie Vineyards Trifolium Red Blend Willamette Valley Dundee Hills 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$7.23 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaulieu Vineyard BV Reserve Rutherford Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Batard Langelier Les Prieres Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Paul Autard Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$23.73 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Familia Traversa Tannat Uruguay 2019
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Contesse Prosecco Single Fermentation Brut
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99——Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Trapiche Oak Cask Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza
red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $9.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced3%
Andre Spumante
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%▲ 25.0%Fairly priced12%
typically +11% if it rises
Black Cottage Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021
red · Marlborough · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cakebread Family Bezel Chardonnay San Luis Odispo Coast 2023
white · 750 ml
$19.99 $24.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Courac Cotes du Rhone Villages Laudun Rouge 2018
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau de Cosse Reserve du Marquis Brut Cremant de Loire 2019
sparkling · Loire · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cune Bela Ribera del Duero Tinto 2023
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine de Belle Mare Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2024
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Liberty Creek Sweet Red
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced4%
Maison Darragon Le Haut des Ruettes Chenin Blanc Vouvray 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Champagne Brut
sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$128▲ 2.4%▲ 18.5%Fairly priced10%
typically +6% if it rises
Fish Eye Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.93 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 28.6%Fairly priced1%
Francois Villard L'Appel des Sereines Syrah Collines Rhodaniennes 2020
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hogue Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022
white · Washington · 750 ml
$7.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
L'Antica Quercia Su Alto Colfondo Frizzante 2021
red · 750 ml
$8.23 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Maison Jean Loron Beau Beaujolais 2018
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ottosoldi Gavi 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beringer Q Red Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Vin de France Rose 2022
rosé · 750 ml
$3.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Maschio Prosecco Brut
sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.40 $4.80 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Mirafiore Barolo 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Guerriero Aglianico Beneventano 2023
red · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Vespa Rosso dei Vespa Primitivo Di Manduria 2021
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Borne of Fire Chardonnay 2019
white · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$150 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cherry Pie Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 4.3%Fairly priced1%
Domaine du Clos des Poulettes En Beauregard Cote de Nuits Villages Blanc 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hundred Suns Old Eight Cut Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lambert Estate The Commitment Shiraz Barossa Valley 2018
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$11.03 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Aligote Bouzeron 2021
red · 750 ml
$22.79 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Majella Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2019
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Speri Sant Urbano Valpolicella Superiore Classico 2019
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Aldeya Tinto Carinena 2021
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Andeluna Raices Cabernet Sauvignon Cabernet Franc Mendoza 2024
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Calanica Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2022
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$2.93 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Della Scala Pinot Grigio Rose Sicilia 2020
rosé · Sicily · 750 ml
$8.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Vin de France Rose 2020
rosé · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Vin de France Rose 2021
rosé · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Anderson Family Vineyards Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Chardonnay Mendoza 2019
white · Mendoza · 750 ml
$10.23 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,451–1,500 of 9,968← PreviousNext →