Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Creek Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sutter Home Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 17% below | 4% |
| Sutter Home Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ferrari Carano Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.09 $29.09 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 30% premium | 4% |
| Arbor Mist Exotic Fruits White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Arbor Mist Strawberry White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Gearbox Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 60% below | 4% |
| World's Edge Chardonnay South Eastern Australia white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.5% | 60% below | 4% |
| Kendall Jackson Grand Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.09 $28.09 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | 14% premium | 4% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Arbor Mist Blackberry Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4% below | 4% |
| Bolla Chianti red · Tuscany · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Campo Viejo Garnacha Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Nicolas Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ruffino Aziano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Smoking Loon Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Werewolf Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Argyle Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▼ 3.8% | ▲ 3.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Corbett Canyon Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Corbett Canyon Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Leonard Kreusch Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pinnacle Ridge Dry Vidal Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| the beachhouse Pinot Grigio delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| the beachhouse Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| A to Z Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Big House Wine Co Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | 8% premium | 4% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bota Box Breeze Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $155 | — | — | 57% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Johnson Estate Ives Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Monterey County Aged in Bourbon Barrels red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sutter Home White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cline Cellars Old Vines Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Juve Y Camps Cava Brut Rose Non Vintage sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Loosen Dr L Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Mont Redon Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Mark West Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | 36% premium | 4% |
| Piper Sonoma Brut Reserve sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| The Infamous Goose Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| The Winery at Wilcox Wedding White white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Baron Herzog Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Moselland Riesling Rheinhessen Cat Bottle in Assorted Colors white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Nurnberger Markt Gluhwein Germany Red red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Seaglass Pinot Grigio Santa Barbara County white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Almaden Cabernet Sauvignon red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Almaden Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Juggernaut Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 16.3% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
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