Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Ecole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marziano Abbona Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Estates Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Sylvain Dussort Meursault Vielles Vignes 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Estate Pinot Noir Whole Cluster Willamette Valley Laurelwood District 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valo Chardonnay Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Dauny Caillottes Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Craggy Range Sauvignon Blanc Te Muna Road Martinborough 2023 white · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Et Fille Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $18.83 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l olivette Bandol 2018 red · Provence · 750 ml | $9.83 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer TD9 Red Blend Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Estate Winery and Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 $31.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pagodes de Cos Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patrick Noel Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyle Nuthouse Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Costasera Amarone Classico red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Once and Future Zinfandel Green and Red Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Panthera Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rocky Pond Winery Eleven Dams Bordeaux Blend 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Family Estate Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amity Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Blandy's Sercial Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.99 $37.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +10% if it rises |
| Faustino I Grand Reserva Rioja 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frederic Esmonin Pinot Noir Clos Prieur Gevrey Chambertin 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +6% if it rises |
| Pierre Amadieu Romane Machotte Gigondas 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace Reserve 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.23 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Doisy Daene Barsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $33.99 $39.99 Sale | ▲ 14.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Herdade dos Grous Moon Harvested Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bastor Lamontagne Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DuMOL Wester Reach Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra The McNab McNab Ranch Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jomain Bourgogne Blanc 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Tribute Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Zinfandel Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hall Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Post and Vine Testa Vineyard Old Vine Field Blend Mendocino 2018 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Voliero Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.93 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Billard Pere et Fis Pommard 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.79 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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