Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Meadow Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Meadow Ranch Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison L Envoye Two Messengers Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Michelas St Jemms Signature Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ponzi Vineyards Laurelwood Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Vigorello Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Carneros 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sokol Blosser Pinot Noir Redland Cuvee Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.03 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Sunnyview Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Steading GSM Red Blend Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 154% premium | <1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Hands Gnarly Dudes Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $11.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Tribute Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cambria Estate Winery Tepusquiet Vineyard Syrah Santa Maria Valley 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Ama Chianti Classico Riserva Montebuoni 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fleur Cardinale Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 202% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Paloumey Organic Cru Bourgeois Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clement et Florian Berthier Sancerre Rose 2020 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2020 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Novecento Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Willamette Valley Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Mountain Fission Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fitz Ritter Gewurztraminer Spatlese Pfalz 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $12.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GoGi 29 Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2016 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| HALL Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Haut Bailly II Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hearst Ranch Winery Lone Tree Cabernet Franc Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Paul and Benoit Droin Chablis AC 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 96% premium | <1% |
| Kloster Eberbach Crescentia Steinberger Riesling Rheingau Kabinett 2019 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lapostolle Cuvee Alexandre Cabernet Sauvignon Valle Central 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Le Petit Smith Haut Lafitte Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $16.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lothian of Elgin Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.53 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Pommard 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $36.53 $73.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Outerbound Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,451–1,500 of 2,215← PreviousNext →