Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Codax Albarino white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | 27% premium | 4% |
| Ruta 22 Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 56% below | 4% |
| Almaden Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Josh Cellars Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Duplin Carolina Scuppernong Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Castello Banfi Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.6% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Mark West Black Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 25.0% | 37% premium | 3% |
| Big House Wine Co Birdman Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Lustau Don Nuno Oloroso Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Stella Rosa L'Orginale Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▲ 3.1% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Famiglie Pinot Grigio Veneto white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $24.99 Sale | ▼ 7.4% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Loveblock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Rodney Strong Chardonnay Chalk Hill white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bogle Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Charles Smith The Velvet Devil Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Jawbreaker Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Nissley Grapeful Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Nissley Spicy Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Spring Gate Vineyard Renove Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Wilhelm Winery Wilhelm Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Matua Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bolla Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Love Noir Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Monte Antico Red Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Clean Slate Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Franzia Crisp White white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 47% below | 3% |
| Gnarly Head Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Gnarly Head Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Gnarly Head Zinfandel Lodi Old Vine red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Noble Vines 181 Merlot Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Franzia Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 3% |
| Mount Nittany Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Nissley Fantasy Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Franzia Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 31% below | 3% |
| Mount Nittany Tailgate Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Big Bold Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 0% premium | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Jammy Red Roo red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 0% premium | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 3% premium | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 2% premium | 3% |
| Bota Mini Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▲ 4.8% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Angeline Vineyards Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Oyster Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 11.8% | 14% premium | 3% |
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