Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iLauri Chiola Cerasuolo d'Abruzzo 2021 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ca' Bolani Pinot Grigio Friuli 2020 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jeannin Naltet Clos des Grands Voyens Monopole Mercurey 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Senechaux Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison De Madeleine Brut Vin Mousseux France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Sarah's Vineyard Dwarf Oak Pinot Noir Santa Clara Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Lush Pinot Noir red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Codorniu Clasico Brut Organic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Humble Bunch Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renacer Punto Final Malbec Classico Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Airfield Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calabuig Macabeo Valencia 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $40.43 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiwi Gold Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bellecoste Carignan Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Box Deep and Dark Cabernet red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Romy Les Pierres Dorees Beaujolais Rouge 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.99 $70.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sokol Blosser Evolution Pinot Noir Oregon Box 2019 red · Oregon · 1500 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beso Del Sol Rose Sangria rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.24 $4.49 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Poggione Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Koudiat by Lavau Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Clos de la Barre Monopole Volnay 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Langoa Barton Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Senechaux Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Smiling Donkey Red Douro 2023 red · Douro · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Vice Howell Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners City Limits Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bergevin Lane Vineyards Linen Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cune Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Tavel Rose 2021 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Riesling Santa Barbara County 2019 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kotrotsos Mavrodaphne 2018 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pine Ridge Chenin Blanc Viognier 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Chardonnay Sonoma County Monterey County 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vendange Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | ▼ 8.3% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Refreshers Peach Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casanova di Neri Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | ▲ 47.4% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Chapitre Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martini and Rossi Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +8% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
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