Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murphy Goode Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Banty Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Love My Goat Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | 24% below | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.6% | 24% below | 5% |
| Jam Jar Sweet Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Vieille Ferme Rouge red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Mazza Vineyards Country Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Oberon Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.19 $31.19 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Paxis Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Banty Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Decoy Merlot Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 8.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Layer Cake Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.83 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 63% premium | 5% |
| Wente Vineyards Charles Wetmore Cabernet Sauvignon Livermore Valley Estate Grown red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 68% premium | 5% |
| Wente Vineyards Pinot Noir Riva Ranch Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 67% premium | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 1% premium | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Banfi Centine Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 318% premium | 5% |
| Woodbridge Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| J Lohr Seven Oaks Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.89 $22.89 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.5% | 43% premium | 4% |
| Septima Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dom Perignon Brut Rose Champagne 2009 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $480 | — | — | 31% premium | 4% |
| Kris Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.59 $14.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pares Balta Pink Brut Cava de Garda sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Villa Wolf Sparkling Pinot Noir Rose Pfalz sparkling · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% premium | 4% |
| Menage a Trois Exotic White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Menage a Trois Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sutter Home Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sutter Home Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | 1% premium | 4% |
| Sutter Home Pink Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sutter Home Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sutter Home Red Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sutter Home Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sutter Home White Merlot white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Cranberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Red Raspberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 48% premium | 4% |
| Lustau Peninsula Palo Cortado Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Napa Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $30.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Liberty Creek Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | 39% below | 4% |
| Liberty Creek Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | 32% below | 4% |
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