Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Lula Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Meyer Fonne Gewurztraminer Reserve Alsace 2022
white · Alsace · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—6% premium<1%
Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$20.73 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Quinta do Vallado Douro Red Reserva 2018
red · Douro · 750 ml
$19.93 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—175% premium<1%
Seven Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Smith Madrone Cabernet Sauvignon Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.43 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Snowden Vineyards Merlot Lost Vineyard Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Somos Cabernet Franc McLaren Vale 2019
red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml
$7.73 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Argentiera Villa Donoratico Bolgheri Rosso 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Vice Howell Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.43 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trefethen Dragon's Tooth 2021
red · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trefethen Merlot 2021
red · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—89% premium<1%
Adelsheim Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Antinori Antica A26 Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Arthur Barolet Chardonnay Bourgogne Blanc 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$9.93 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$33.53 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaulieu Vineyard BV Cabernet Sauvignon Maestro Collection Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$35.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beringer Reserve Knights Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$15.83 $52.99 Clearance 0.0%—102% premium<1%
Bodegas LAN Edicion Limitada Rioja 2020
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$35.99 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—129% premium<1%
Casa Santos Lima Red Blend Lisboa Box 2019
red · 3000 ml
$25.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Catena Alta Chardonnay Mendoza 2021
white · Mendoza · 750 ml
$21.93 $35.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$44.73 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2020
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cielo Centenero Amarone della Valpolicella 2018
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Crossbarn Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dalton Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee 2019
red · 750 ml
$26.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Derby Wine Estates Petite Sirah Laura's Vineyard Paso Robles 2015
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$25.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dog Point Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021
red · Marlborough · 750 ml
$13.93 $43.99 Clearance 0.0%—77% premium<1%
Domaine Alain Jeanniard Pinot Noir Cote D'Or Bourgogne 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$9.93 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Drouhin Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$13.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$9.93 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Gerard Tremblay Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$10.93 $35.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Joseph Pascal Chardonnay Bourgogne Cote d'Or 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$22.23 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Joseph Pascal Meursault 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$43.79 $72.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Blanc 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$27.53 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Blanc 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$11.13 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine du Clos des Poulettes Vierville Cote de Nuits Villages Rouge 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$19.73 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Elena Fucci SCEG Aglianico del Vulture 2018
red · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Girard Artistry Red Wine Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Greppicaia I Greppi Bolgheri Superiore 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$43.79 $72.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Herdade dos Grous Moon Harvested Red 2022
red · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J J Prum Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Mosel Auslese 2020
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$35.03 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—37% premium<1%
JL Chave Offerus Saint Joseph Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
JL Chave Selections Offerus Saint Joseph 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2019
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1500 ml
$27.99 0.0%—34% premium<1%
1,401–1,450 of 2,215← PreviousNext →