Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Clos de L'Oratoire Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$22.53 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne Rose
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$59.99▼ 4.8% 0.0%Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rouge 2018
red · Provence · 750 ml
$18.93 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Truchard Cabernet Sauvignon Carneros Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Guerrin Vieilles Vignes Pouilly Fuisse 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Familia Escudero Solar de Becquer Gran Reserva Rioja 2011
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gundlach Bundschu Winery Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$7.23 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Januik Columbia Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Serge Dagueneau Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2019
white · Loire · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$55.99——Fairly priced2%
Coeur de Terre Heritage Reserve Estate Pinot Noir 2019
red · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Decoy Pinot Noir Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$25.99 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced4%
Lightpost Winery Ignition San Luis Obispo County 2018
red · Central Coast · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marziano Abbona Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$36.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Gerard Tremblay Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2024
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$44.99——Fairly priced1%
Fontanabianca Barbaresco Bordini 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
St. Urbans Hof Ockfener Bockstein Kabinett 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.53 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
L'Ecole No 41 Perigee Estate Seven Hills Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$16.23 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fitz Ritter Gewurztraminer Spatlese Pfalz 2021
white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$12.53 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Merryvale Starmont Chardonnay Carneros
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.73 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced1%
Il Poggione Rosso di Montalcino
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.09 0.0%▲ 7.8%Fairly priced4%
K Vintners Powerline Viognier Walla Walla Valley 2018
white · Washington · 750 ml
$12.93 $42.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Serge Dagueneau et Filles Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$18.59 $30.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Yann Chave Crozes Hermitage Classique 2022
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$20.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rocca di Castagnoli Buriano Cabernet Sauvignon Toscana 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Thienot Brut Champagne
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.93 $57.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Trefethen Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$64.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vigneti di Ettore Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2018
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $26.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 3.8%12% premium5%
typically +8% if it rises
Lingua Franca Avni Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2022
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$23.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Alex Chameau Le Chene Marchand Sancerre Blanc 2020
white · Loire · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Luc Belaire Rare Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$36.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Piper Sonoma Brut
sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$25.99 0.0%▲ 53.0%Fairly priced5%
typically +10% if it rises
Salvaterra Valpolicella Classico Superiore Ripasso 2023
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$19.99 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Corinne et Jean Pierre Grossot Chablis 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$22.43 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Superiore 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$13.93 $52.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Boutinot Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc Box 2022
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Alain Gras Saint Romain Rouge 2015
red · 750 ml
$41.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rose 2024
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$30.99 $31.99 Sale——Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Markham Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $26.99 Sale▲ 3.8%▲ 12.5%Fairly priced7%
typically +4% if it rises
San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$64.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Coelho Winery Pinot Noir Delfina Vineyard McMinnville 2018
red · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Besson Le Petit Pretan Givry Rouge 1er Cru 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$42.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2017
dessert · 500 ml
$35.99 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$28.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Saviah Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$9.93 $30.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,351–1,400 of 2,525← PreviousNext →