Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torbreck The Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Mayard Clos du Calvaire Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.73 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vite Colte Paesi Tuoi Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% below | <1% |
| Vivier Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.33 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Merlot Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards White Pinot Noir 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia Riserva 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.43 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antica Terra Coriolis Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ascheri Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auctioneer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ondalan Garnacha 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello Di Volpaia Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.03 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de La Dauphine Fronsac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Collection Alain Corcia Pinot Noir Bourgogne Reserve Grande Classe Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corinne et Jean Pierre Grossot Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cune Reserva Rioja Alta 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dancing Crow Vineyards Old Stake 1901 Cabernet Sauvignon Lake County 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Pinot Noir Bourgogne Cote d'Or 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Rois Mages Les Cailloux Rully Blanc 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.03 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Beauregard Maranges Cote de Beaune Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes Vierville Cotes de Nuits Village Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Pauly Bergweiler Bernkasteler Badstube Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Easton Pinot Noir Duarte Georgetown Vineyard Sierra Foothills 2013 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eminent Domaine Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Ribbon Ridge 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Origine Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Eyrie Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Zinfandel Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize Chataigniers Saint Veran 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Januik Columbia Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Bernkasteler Badstube 2022 white · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Graacher Himmelreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners The Deal Syrah Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.03 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Ferguson Estate Ferguson Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Colombina Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Vaillon Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Las Sabias Tempranillo Toro 2020 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | <1% |
| Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Robin Vaucoupin Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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