Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Josh Cellars Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | 13% premium | 4% |
| Louis Jadot White Burgundy white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Franzia Burgundy red · Burgundy · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Franzia Cabernet Sauvignon red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Franzia Dark Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Franzia Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Concha Y Toro Casillero del Diablo Merlot red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Cabernet Sauvignon red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Carmenere red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Malbec red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Red Blend red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ruffino Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Valenzano Shamong Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Avia Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Sir Walter's Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Hahn Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▼ 9.6% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Hahn Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▼ 9.6% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ruby Red Provence Vin de France Rose rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 19% below | 4% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 24% below | 4% |
| Prophecy Buttery Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 35.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Frey Organic Natural White Mendocino County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Dark Malbec red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chandon Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 10.6% | ▲ 15.0% | 55% premium | 4% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Alamos Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Baron Herzog Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Carnivor Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| MaraBela Sparkling Tea Wild Verbena Nonalcoholic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Natura Organic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Natura Organic Carmenere red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Natura Organic Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| 19 Crimes Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| 19 Crimes Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| 19 Crimes Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| 19 Crimes The Banished Dark Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| 19 Crimes The Uprising Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barone Fini Pinot Grigio Trentino white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bee You Riesling Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 4% |
| Brancott Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 25% below | 4% |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | 6% premium | 4% |
| Charles Smith Boom Boom Syrah Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Riesling Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| J Lohr Los Osos Merlot Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Layer Cake Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 35% premium | 4% |
| Leonard Kreusch Gewurztraminer white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | 28% premium | 4% |
| Riunite Bianco white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Arado Malbec Uco Valley Reserva red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
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