Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chappellet Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.23 $86.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Croix du Casse Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Villemaurine Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.43 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Vieille Cure Fronsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.43 $36.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Mt. Jefferson Cuvee Pinot Noir Eola-Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Durand Premices Cornas 2022 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Emmanuel Darnaud Les Trois Chenes Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.03 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dutton Goldfield Pinot Noir Dutton Ranch Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gomez Cruzado Pancrudo Garnacha Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $34.53 $65.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 269% premium | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazelfern Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.39 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Heitz Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Estate Pinot Noir McMinnville 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | <1% |
| JL Chave Selections Offerus Saint Joseph 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Stone Valley Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Summit View Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Kimsey Syrah Ballard Canyon 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Pinot Noir Bourgogne Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Demoiselles de la Font du Loup Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martin Woods Jessie James Vineyard Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matarromera Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero Crianza 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolis Amarone della Valpolicella Classico Ambrosan 2011 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate Classique Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rambeaux Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rocky Pond Winery Eleven Dams Bordeaux Blend 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Classico Riserva 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Hyland Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| St Supery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.79 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Piesporter Goldtropfchen Kabinett Mosel 2018 red · Mosel · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Steading Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Mayard Clos du Calvaire Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.73 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vite Colte Paesi Tuoi Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% below | <1% |
| Vivier Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.33 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Merlot Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia Riserva 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.43 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antica Terra Coriolis Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ascheri Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auctioneer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ondalan Garnacha 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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