Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wild Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $213 $710 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine De La Chezatte Bulles de Caillottes Extra Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hoopes Chardonnay Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marimar Estate Acero Unoaked Chardonnay Don Miguel Vineyard Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tagaro Sei Caselle Negroamaro Salice Salentino 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boutinot La Cote Sauvage Cairanne 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force Majeure Syrah Red Mountain Estate Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Shiraz 2020 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Winemaker Series Lot 2 Cabernet Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa San Juliette Chorum Red Wine Paso Robles 2017 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Malma Correntoso Malbec Patagonia 2024 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Brooks Winery Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2022 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabrice Larochette La Grande Bruyere Macon Fuisse 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Gothic Collection Poor Boy Calatayud 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.99 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Vincens Origine Malbec Cahors 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lunadoro Pagliareto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matarromera Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero Crianza 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Tsinandali Georgia 2018 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Rosso dei Dardi Vino Rosso Italia 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hesketh Bright Young Things Sauvignon Blanc Limestone Coast 2024 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi Centine Rosato Toscana 2020 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Havens Black and Blue Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.59 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vina Seculo Godello Castilla y Leon 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Gewurz Gewurztraminer Mendocino County 2025 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fleur de Roc Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.53 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Mesnil Blanc de Blancs Grand Cru Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rose Gold Rose Cotes de Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Rutherford Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $45.03 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave de Tain Le Bonheur Syrah Collines Rhodaniennes red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Zinfandel Alexander Valley Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $18.93 $60.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Seculo Godello Castilla y Leon 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 45 Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | ▼ 4.1% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Marques de Riscal Arienzo Rioja Crianza 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Riesling 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Florin Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jordan Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanabianca Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Granza Rosado Cigales 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Chardonnay Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Luciano Ercolino Le Grade Fiano di Avellino 2022 white · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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