Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartenura Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 9.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Butternut Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▼ 5.6% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Domaine Ste Michelle Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Marques de Riscal Rioja Reserva red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.6% | 48% below | 5% |
| Don Miguel Gascon Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 25.0% | 14% below | 5% |
| Menage a Trois Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Trapiche Broquel Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bota Box Breeze Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Liberty Creek Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | 31% below | 5% |
| Fetzer Chardonnay Sundial white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Fetzer Gewurztraminer Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| The Dreaming Tree Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| The Dreaming Tree Crush Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | 5% premium | 5% |
| The Dreaming Tree Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| J Lohr Chardonnay Riverstone Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.69 $17.69 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Franzia Crisp White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Franzia Refreshing White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Gruet Blanc de Blancs Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Rutherford Hill Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 48.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Blandy's Rainwater Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Riesling Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Smoking Loon Chardonnay Steelbird Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Erath Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Sterling Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.49 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Botani Old Vine Moscatel dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Goat White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Riesling Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $13.99 Sale | ▲ 7.7% | ▲ 12.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Vieille Ferme Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Oyster Bay Chardonnay Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| MacMurray Estate Vineyards Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Marques de Caceres Crianza Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Carlo Rossi Burgundy red · Burgundy · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 51% below | 5% |
| Barefoot Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | 3% premium | 5% |
| World's Edge Cabernet Sauvignon South Eastern Australia red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.5% | 52% below | 5% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Beringer Main and Vine White Merlot white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Hess Select Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Nobilo Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Santa Margherita Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Terrazas de los Andes Malbec Mendoza Reserva red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | 54% premium | 5% |
| Armand de Brignac Ace of Spades Champagne Rose in Gift Box sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $450 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bolla Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 | ▲ 2.6% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 | ▲ 2.6% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 | ▲ 2.6% | ▼ 2.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
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