Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
R Lopez de Heredia Vina Cubillo Crianza Rioja 2017
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$32.99▲ 10.0%—Fairly priced2%
Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Canvasback Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$10.93 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Seguinot Bordet Chablis 2019
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Grey Stack Chardonnay Four Brothers Vineyard Bennet Valley Sonoma County 2019
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lingua Franca Avni Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$23.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 311 Chardonnay Australia 2022
white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rutherford Hill Merlot Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$39.99 0.0%▲ 48.2%Fairly priced5%
Sleight of Hand Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2023
red · Washington · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Two Vintners OG Yakima Valley 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.83 $51.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2022
white · 750 ml
$20.43 $72.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Meyer Fonne Riesling Wineck Schlossberg Alsace Grand Cru 2022
white · Alsace · 750 ml
$28.19 $46.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Aubichon Cellars Pinot Noir Reserve Willamette Valley 2017
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.33 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$45.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Los Carneros 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$35.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
The Calling Pinot Noir Patriarch Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2016
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Cade Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2020
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Duckhorn Vineyard Merlot Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$59.99 0.0%▲ 9.1%Fairly priced9%
typically +8% if it rises
Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2020
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$12.53 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Phelps Creek Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Columbia Gorge 2021
red · 750 ml
$8.33 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$10.23 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rombauer Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc California 2022
white · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$26.99 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas Y Vinedos Carlos Moro Oinoz by Claude Gros Rioja 2015
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2019
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$22.49 $37.49 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Dominique and Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2022
rosé · Loire · 750 ml
$20.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Virtue Cellars Enthusiasm Grenache Red Mountain 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cade Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$10.93 $40.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$31.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Porta 6 Vinho Tinto Lisboa Box
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.99 0.0%—10% premium10%
typically +5% if it rises
Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$31.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$34.19 $56.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau du Tertre Margaux 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Durand Premices Cornas 2022
red · 750 ml
$20.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Guerrin Vieilles Vignes Pouilly Fuisse 2018
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Veuve Fourny Blanc de Blancs Extra Brut Vertus 1er Cru Champagne
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Weingut Heid Steinmergel Rose Sekt Trollinger Brut Wurttemberg
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.93 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine de la Chapelle Les Grand Climats Pouilly Fuisse 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$25.73 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Frank Family Vineyards Pinot Noir Carneros 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$22.53 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Mistral Joseph's Blend Single Vineyard Monterey County 2018
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$15.03 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2023
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$29.99——Fairly priced1%
Trinchero Forte Napa Valley 2014
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.53 $42.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,301–1,350 of 2,525← PreviousNext →