Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Cubillo Crianza Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $32.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canvasback Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Seguinot Bordet Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grey Stack Chardonnay Four Brothers Vineyard Bennet Valley Sonoma County 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lingua Franca Avni Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 311 Chardonnay Australia 2022 white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Hill Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 48.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners OG Yakima Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.83 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2022 white · 750 ml | $20.43 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meyer Fonne Riesling Wineck Schlossberg Alsace Grand Cru 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $28.19 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aubichon Cellars Pinot Noir Reserve Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Los Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Patriarch Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cade Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyard Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $12.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Columbia Gorge 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc California 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Y Vinedos Carlos Moro Oinoz by Claude Gros Rioja 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $22.49 $37.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique and Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2022 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $20.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Enthusiasm Grenache Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cade Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $10.93 $40.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Porta 6 Vinho Tinto Lisboa Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.19 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau du Tertre Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Durand Premices Cornas 2022 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guerrin Vieilles Vignes Pouilly Fuisse 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Fourny Blanc de Blancs Extra Brut Vertus 1er Cru Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Weingut Heid Steinmergel Rose Sekt Trollinger Brut Wurttemberg sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Chapelle Les Grand Climats Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Pinot Noir Carneros 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Mistral Joseph's Blend Single Vineyard Monterey County 2018 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2023 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trinchero Forte Napa Valley 2014 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.53 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,301–1,350 of 2,525← PreviousNext →