Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cloud 90 by Cavit Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.49 | ▲ 18.8% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Le Vigne Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Chardonnay Chalk Hill white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Silva Dona Dominga Clasico de Familia Chardonnay Valle de Colchagua 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chasing Rain Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lalaudey Moulis en Medoc Cru Bourgeois Superieur 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Mountain Cuvee 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Palacio del Burgo Rioja Tinto 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudline Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| First Drop Mother's Milk Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hogue Cellars Pinot Grigio Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Jacome Morgon Rouge 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Laurenz V Singing Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2020 white · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Passot Les Rampaux Regnie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tait The Ball Buster Red Blend Barossa Valley 2018 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Alzatura Montefalco Rosso 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Cuvee Juveniles Red Blend Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chaise Touraine Chenonceaux Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fetzer Cabernet Sauvignon Anthony's Hill red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Blauer Zweigelt Elegant Niederosterreich 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Corbett Canyon Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine de la Potardiere Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden Gate Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Hermanos Hernaiz el Jardin de La Emperatriz Tinto Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| K Vintners Viognier Art Den Hoed Yakima Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pepperwood Grove Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Prince Alexandre Cremant de Loire Brut sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Curriola Branco Tejo 2021 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Desire Petit Cremant du Jura sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Domaine Jean Touzot Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Koudiat by Lavau Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pure Est Verdejo Valencia 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bread and Butter Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Fattoria del Cerro Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chaya Sweet White Piemonte white · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Blanco Rioja 2022 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge g3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Susana Balbo Wines Crios Torrontes Mendoza 2025 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Weinstock Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Arbor Mist Exotic Fruits White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Arbor Mist Strawberry White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.19 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| L'Escarpe Sauvignon Blanc Val de Loire 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Madame Fleur Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Arneis 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carmes de Rieussec Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Vin Santo del Chianti Classico 2010 dessert · Tuscany · 375 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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