Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$52.43 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Loosen Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Kabinett 2022
white · 750 ml
$26.99 $27.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Geyser Peak Walking Tree Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—62% premium<1%
Gorman Winery The Devil You Dont Know Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Grevino Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2020
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019
sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml
$15.93 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$200 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Manderschied Gewurztraminer Pfalz 2020
white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$16.53 $33.99 Clearance 0.0%—82% premium<1%
Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Single Vineyard Branding Iron Vineyard 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Dogleg Vineyard 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville Single Vineyard State Ranch Vineyard 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rombauer Vineyards Proprietor Selection Chardonnay Carneros 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—110% premium<1%
Starmont Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$33.99 0.0%—75% premium<1%
Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Bianco 2021
white · Sicily · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trimbach Reserve Riesling Alsace 2021
white · Alsace · 750 ml
$20.99 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vincent Girardin Les Charmes Dessus Meursault 1er Cru Premier Cru 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$140 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Walla Walla Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Worthy Cabernet Sauvignon Sophia's Cuvee Napa Valley 2016
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$31.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$23.73 $38.99 Clearance 0.0%—40% premium<1%
Ascheri Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bovio Barolo 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0% 0.0%34% below<1%
Cesari Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cap de Mourlin Saint Emilion 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Doisy Daene Barsac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—79% premium<1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2015
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—35% below<1%
Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dievole Novecento Chianti Classico Riserva 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains 1er Cru Chablis 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$26.13 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—9% below<1%
Domaine Antonin Guyon Sous Fretille Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru 2020
red · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Eric Montchovet Longbois Beaune Rouge 2022
red · 750 ml
$20.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Huet Le Haut Lieu Vouvray Sec 2023
red · Loire · 750 ml
$26.99 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Leflaive Macon Verze Le Monte 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$57.63 $76.99 Clearance 0.0%—130% premium<1%
Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2017
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Kabinett 2022
white · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Familia Schroeder Malbec Patagonia 2017
red · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jacques Saumaize les Creuzettes Pouilly Fuisse 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$26.99 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—20% premium<1%
Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2010
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lete Vautrain Brut Champagne Millesime 2014
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—33% below<1%
Lydian Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.33 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—52% premium<1%
Merryvale Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—29% below<1%
Pasquale Pelissero Barbaresco Bricco San Giuliano 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$35.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Peter Paul Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$35.93 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pio Cesare Barbaresco 2015
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Planeta Santa Cecilia Nero d'Avola Noto 2018
red · 750 ml
$42.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2013
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Winemaker Series Red Blend 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tabali Talud Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2018
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trinchero Forte Napa Valley 2014
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
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