Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Bianco 2021
white · Sicily · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ant Moore Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough Signature Series 2024
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Black Box Chardonnay
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99▲ 4.2% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Damien Martin Chardonnay Macon Verze 2024
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$17.99 $19.99 Sale——Fairly priced<1%
Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Chardonnay Russian River Valley
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99 $20.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 10.5%Fairly priced6%
typically +9% if it rises
Italian Dreamer Pinot Grigio Friuli 2023
white · Friuli · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Madria Moscato Sangria
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99▲ 8.3%▲ 30.0%Fairly priced2%
Neyers Chardonnay Carneros 2018
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pendulum Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023
white · Washington · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Sieur d Eguilles Coteaux d Aix en Provence Blanc 2024
white · Provence · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Thistledown Gorgeous Grenache Blanc South Australia 2024
white · South Australia · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Tiefenbrunner Pinot Grigio Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2021
white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml
$10.13 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Willm Gewurztraminer Alsace Reserve 2019
white · Alsace · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Barefoot Chardonnay
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Barefoot Pinot Grigio
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Bully Hill Vineyards Riesling
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%▲ 13.1%Fairly priced4%
Canyon Oaks Chardonnay
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.76 $11.53 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Clara Benegas Chardonnay Mendoza 2024
white · Mendoza · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Schoffit Gewurztraminer Harth Cuvee Caroline 2021
white · 750 ml
$14.73 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Elk Cove Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Elk Cove Vineyards Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Oak Leaf Vineyards Moscato
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.49 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +6% if it rises
Borgo San Nicola Pinot Grigio Friuli
white · Friuli · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$17.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Xavier Frissant Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2021
white · Loire · 750 ml
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Konstantin Frank Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2023
white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml
$16.99 $17.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dressage Chardonnay Central Coast 2019
white · Central Coast · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frog's Leap Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hugl Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2023
white · 1000 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J Lohr Flume Crossing Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County
white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $16.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +6% if it rises
La Crema Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $19.99 Sale▼ 3.8%—Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Painted Fox Winery Chardonnay York County
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99——Fairly priced10%
typically +7% if it rises
Santa Ema Chardonnay Leyda Valley Reserva 2020
white · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Dreaming Tree Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $17.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 5.9%Fairly priced7%
typically +5% if it rises
WALT Chardonnay Sonoma Coast Sonoma County 2020
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Affentaler Riesling Baden 2021
white · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
De Loach Vineyards Chardonnay Edna Valley 2021
white · Central Coast · 750 ml
$14.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Florysa Cheverny Blanc 2020
white · 750 ml
$4.93 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Infamous Gold Cabernet Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.69 0.0%▲ 26.4%Fairly priced27%
typically +5% if it rises
Placido Pinot Grigio
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.33 $15.59 Clearance 0.0%▲ 11.4%Fairly priced1%
Sandy Cove Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$7.03 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Van Loveren Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Robertson Valley 2020
white · 750 ml
$3.53 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Affentaler Riesling Baden 2020
white · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Fage Bordeaux Graves De Vayres Blanc 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Xavier Frissant Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2020
white · Loire · 750 ml
$7.53 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Pinot Grigio Emerald Label
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.49▲ 2.9%▲ 9.4%Fairly priced3%
J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$39.53 $76.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Petit Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$29.53 $56.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pinhal da Torre Two Worlds White 2020
white · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Saurus Select Chardonnay Patagonia 2023
white · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,251–1,300 of 2,882← PreviousNext →