Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Bianco 2021 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ant Moore Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough Signature Series 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Box Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Damien Martin Chardonnay Macon Verze 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Chardonnay Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Italian Dreamer Pinot Grigio Friuli 2023 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Madria Moscato Sangria white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Neyers Chardonnay Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pendulum Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sieur d Eguilles Coteaux d Aix en Provence Blanc 2024 white · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Thistledown Gorgeous Grenache Blanc South Australia 2024 white · South Australia · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tiefenbrunner Pinot Grigio Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2021 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Willm Gewurztraminer Alsace Reserve 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Canyon Oaks Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.76 $11.53 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clara Benegas Chardonnay Mendoza 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Schoffit Gewurztraminer Harth Cuvee Caroline 2021 white · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Vineyards Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Borgo San Nicola Pinot Grigio Friuli white · Friuli · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Xavier Frissant Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dressage Chardonnay Central Coast 2019 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hugl Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2023 white · 1000 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Flume Crossing Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| La Crema Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Painted Fox Winery Chardonnay York County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Santa Ema Chardonnay Leyda Valley Reserva 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Dreaming Tree Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| WALT Chardonnay Sonoma Coast Sonoma County 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Affentaler Riesling Baden 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| De Loach Vineyards Chardonnay Edna Valley 2021 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Florysa Cheverny Blanc 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Infamous Gold Cabernet Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.4% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +5% if it rises |
| Placido Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sandy Cove Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Van Loveren Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Robertson Valley 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Affentaler Riesling Baden 2020 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Fage Bordeaux Graves De Vayres Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Xavier Frissant Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Pinot Grigio Emerald Label white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $39.53 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.53 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Two Worlds White 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saurus Select Chardonnay Patagonia 2023 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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